Xiao Xiaoyue, Yu Qianying, Han Bingying, Fu Min, Chen Mingling
Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine Chengdu 610075, Sichuan, China.
Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine Chengdu 610075, Sichuan, China.
Am J Cancer Res. 2025 Apr 15;15(4):1705-1718. doi: 10.62347/KZOQ9722. eCollection 2025.
This study aimed to explore the predictive role of peripheral blood indicators in the prognosis of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Clinical data of 139 cSCC patients receiving ICIs treatment were retrospectively collected. Peripheral blood indicators, including blood cell counts, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), liver and kidney function markers, and inflammation markers, were examined. A binary logistic regression model was used to identify risk factors for non-response to ICIs, and a predictive model was constructed. Additionally, multiple linear regression and Pearson correlation analysis were employed to assess relevant influences and relationships. Results showed that immunotherapy timing, lymphocyte count, NLR, and C-reactive protein (CRP) were influencing factors for non-response to ICIs (all P<0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) for these indicators in predicting non-response risk was 0.651 (95% CI: 0.529-0.773), 0.671 (95% CI: 0.542-0.801), 0.775 (95% CI: 0.682-0.868), and 0.717 (95% CI: 0.573-0.861), respectively. The combined AUC of these four factors was 0.878 (95% CI: 0.790-0.966), with sensitivity and specificity of 76.0% and 93.0%, respectively. After internal verification, the constructed model exhibited predicted sensitivity and specificity of 80.00% and 94.29% respectively. Multiple linear regression analysis indicated that these four factors were independent predictors of progression-free survival (PFS) in cSCC patients. Immunotherapy timing, NLR, and CRP were negatively correlated with PFS (r = -0.235, -0.330, -0.494), while lymphocyte count was positively correlated with PFS (r = 0.326). In conclusion, peripheral blood indicators are valuable for predicting the response to ICIs in cSCC and can influence patients' PFS.
本研究旨在探讨外周血指标在接受免疫检查点抑制剂(ICI)治疗的皮肤鳞状细胞癌(cSCC)患者预后中的预测作用。回顾性收集了139例接受ICI治疗的cSCC患者的临床资料。检测外周血指标,包括血细胞计数、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、肝肾功能指标和炎症指标。采用二元逻辑回归模型确定对ICI无反应的危险因素,并构建预测模型。此外,采用多元线性回归和Pearson相关性分析来评估相关影响和关系。结果显示,免疫治疗时机、淋巴细胞计数、NLR和C反应蛋白(CRP)是对ICI无反应的影响因素(均P<0.05)。这些指标预测无反应风险的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.651(95%CI:0.529-0.773)、0.671(95%CI:0.542-0.801)、0.775(95%CI:0.682-0.868)和0.717(95%CI:0.573-0.861)。这四个因素的联合AUC为0.878(95%CI:0.790-0.966),敏感性和特异性分别为76.0%和93.0%。经过内部验证,构建的模型显示预测敏感性和特异性分别为80.00%和94.29%。多元线性回归分析表明,这四个因素是cSCC患者无进展生存期(PFS)的独立预测因素。免疫治疗时机、NLR和CRP与PFS呈负相关(r = -0.235、-0.330、-0.494),而淋巴细胞计数与PFS呈正相关(r = 0.326)。总之,外周血指标对预测cSCC患者对ICI的反应具有重要价值,并可影响患者的PFS。