Moradeyo D M, Akinyemi J O, Yusuf O B
Department of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Faculty of Public Health, University of Ibadan.
Ann Ib Postgrad Med. 2024 Dec 31;22(3):70-78.
The shorter the time interval between marriage and first birth, the sooner subsequent pregnancies are likely to occur in the absence of contraceptives and family planning. This can have negative impacts on the mother, children and society. This study explores the trend in the time between marriage and the first birth among Nigerian women.
Kaplan-Meier's estimation and multilevel survival models were used to analyze data from the Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) records from 1990, 2003, 2008 and 2013. The study focused on women who entered marriage without children or pregnancy. The surveys employed a two-stage cluster sampling method. Variables extracted included birth cohort, age at sexual initiation, age at first marriage, age at first birth, educational level, religion, place of residence, knowledge of contraceptive and ovulatory cycle.
The results indicated that the median time to first birth after marriage decreased from 2 years to 1 year. Significant factors associated with a higher likelihood of having first birth shortly after marriage included having primary education (HR = 1.17; CI=1.14-1.21), knowledge of contraceptives (HR= 1.21; CI =1.20-1.26, ovulation cycle (HR=1.21, CI=1.18-1.25), marriage above 19 years (HR = 1.19, CI=1.15-1.25), women residing in South east (HR= 1.17, CI =1.10-1.22), South West (HR = 1.30, C.I=1.24-1.37) and community influence (p=1.37, ICC = 0.06).
The reduced time to first birth after marriage underscores the need for policy-makers to promote higher level education and family planning among women of reproductive age in Nigeria.
在没有避孕措施和计划生育的情况下,结婚与首次生育之间的时间间隔越短,随后怀孕的可能性就越大。这可能会对母亲、孩子和社会产生负面影响。本研究探讨了尼日利亚女性结婚与首次生育之间时间的趋势。
使用Kaplan-Meier估计法和多水平生存模型分析1990年、2003年、2008年和2013年尼日利亚人口与健康调查(NDHS)记录中的数据。该研究关注那些结婚时没有孩子或未怀孕的女性。调查采用两阶段整群抽样方法。提取的变量包括出生队列、开始性行为的年龄、初婚年龄、首次生育年龄、教育水平、宗教、居住地点、避孕知识和排卵周期。
结果表明,婚后首次生育的中位时间从2年降至1年。与婚后不久首次生育可能性较高相关的显著因素包括接受小学教育(风险比=1.17;置信区间=1.14 - 1.21)、避孕知识(风险比=1.21;置信区间 =1.20 - 1.26)、排卵周期(风险比=1.21,置信区间=1.18 - 1.25)、19岁以上结婚(风险比 =1.19,置信区间=1.15 - 1.25)、居住在东南部的女性(风险比=1.17,置信区间 =1.10 - 1.22)、西南部(风险比 =1.30,置信区间=1.24 - 1.37)以及社区影响(p=1.37,组内相关系数 =0.06)。
婚后首次生育时间的缩短凸显了政策制定者在尼日利亚育龄妇女中促进高等教育和计划生育的必要性。