Manning Wendy D, Guzzo Karen Benjamin, Dush Claire Kamp, Juteau Gabrielle
Bowling Green State University, OH, USA.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Socius. 2025 Jan-Dec;11. doi: 10.1177/23780231251321549. Epub 2025 Mar 17.
Despite initial declines in fertility since the onset of the pandemic, less is known about how fertility intentions are related to pandemic-based stressors in the United States. The authors examine the following two questions. First, how are pandemic stressors associated with short-term fertility intentions? Second, among those delaying fertility, what are the rationales for doing so, and how are pandemic stressors related to these rationales? The authors draw on the National Couples' Health and Time Study, a nationally representative sample of 20- to 50-year-olds in the United States who were married or cohabiting and interviewed between September 2020 and April 2021. Among those desiring or remaining open to having (more) children, experiencing pandemic-related stressors was associated with delays in fertility plans; those whose lives were most disrupted and those who experienced relationship stress were less likely to intend to have children in the next year. The most common rationale for not intending to have children in the next year was economic worries, followed by health worries and concerns about an uncertain future. Economic and health stress were linked to these rationales, net of objective indicators. A comprehensive assessment of fertility intentions and underlying rationale for intentions on the basis of subjective factors is critical for understanding fertility patterns.
尽管自疫情爆发以来生育率最初有所下降,但在美国,人们对生育意愿与基于疫情的压力源之间的关系了解较少。作者研究了以下两个问题。第一,疫情压力源与短期生育意愿有何关联?第二,在那些推迟生育的人中,这样做的理由是什么,以及疫情压力源与这些理由有何关系?作者利用了全国夫妻健康与时间研究,该研究对2020年9月至2021年4月期间接受采访的美国20至50岁已婚或同居的具有全国代表性的样本进行了调查。在那些想要(更多)孩子或对此持开放态度的人中,经历与疫情相关的压力源与生育计划的推迟有关;生活受影响最大的人和经历关系压力的人在明年生育的意愿较低。明年不打算要孩子的最常见理由是经济担忧,其次是健康担忧和对不确定未来的担忧。在扣除客观指标后,经济和健康压力与这些理由相关。基于主观因素对生育意愿及其背后的理由进行全面评估对于理解生育模式至关重要。