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泰国的环境温度与自杀风险:来自清迈府和曼谷府的证据。

Ambient Temperature and Suicide Risk in Thailand: Evidence from Chiang Mai and Bangkok Provinces.

作者信息

Thawonmas Ramita, Kim Yoonhee, Hashizume Masahiro

机构信息

School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki 852-8523, Japan.

Department of Global Environmental Health, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo, Tokyo 113-8654, Japan.

出版信息

Environ Health (Wash). 2025 Feb 17;3(5):560-570. doi: 10.1021/envhealth.4c00153. eCollection 2025 May 16.

Abstract

Suicide is a critical public health issue with rates varying across regions and demographic groups. Recent evidence suggests that ambient temperature may influence suicide risk. This study examines the association between temperature and suicide in Thailand's tropical climate, focusing on Chiang Mai and Bangkok provinces, and quantifies the attributable burden. Daily suicide and meteorological data from 2002 to 2021 were analyzed using a time-stratified case-crossover approach with a distributed lag nonlinear model, adjusted for relative humidity. Province-specific estimates were pooled through a multivariate meta-regression model. The study found a positive, mostly linear association between temperature and suicide risk, with a relative risk (RR) of 1.70 (95% CI: 1.35, 2.15) across the temperature range. Approximately 24.61% of suicides were attributable to temperature, with 12.05% due to hot temperatures above the 66th percentile. The pooled attributable fractions were higher in the 0-64 age group compared to those aged ≥65, while differences between sexes were not statistically significant. This study highlights the significant association between higher ambient temperatures and increased suicide risks in Thailand, emphasizing the need to integrate climate considerations into mental health and suicide prevention policies. Further research across diverse climatic zones is essential for understanding climate influences on mental health globally.

摘要

自杀是一个关键的公共卫生问题,其发生率在不同地区和人口群体中有所不同。最近的证据表明,环境温度可能会影响自杀风险。本研究考察了泰国热带气候下温度与自杀之间的关联,重点关注清迈和曼谷两省,并对可归因负担进行了量化。使用时间分层病例交叉方法和分布滞后非线性模型对2002年至2021年的每日自杀和气象数据进行分析,并对相对湿度进行了调整。通过多变量元回归模型汇总特定省份的估计值。研究发现温度与自杀风险之间存在正相关,且大多为线性关系,在整个温度范围内相对风险(RR)为1.70(95%置信区间:1.35,2.15)。约24.61%的自杀可归因于温度,其中12.05%归因于高于第66百分位数的高温。0至64岁年龄组的汇总归因比例高于65岁及以上年龄组,而性别之间的差异无统计学意义。本研究强调了泰国较高的环境温度与自杀风险增加之间的显著关联,强调需要将气候因素纳入心理健康和自杀预防政策。跨不同气候区的进一步研究对于理解全球气候对心理健康的影响至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7929/12090010/131a14bf08f0/eh4c00153_0001.jpg

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