Zhang Haijun, Kong Yuhao, Chen Haotian, Luo Sitong, Fan Pengyang, Li Zhihui
Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States.
Front Public Health. 2025 May 8;13:1429461. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1429461. eCollection 2025.
In 2018, the Chinese Guidelines for Diagnosis and Treatment of HIV/AIDS recommended the adoption of the efavirenz 400 mg-based TLE (tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) + lamivudine (3TC) + efavirenz (EFV)) regimen as the primary first-line treatment for ART-naive HIV-1 infected adults in China. However, the cost-effectiveness of different TLE treatment strategies remains uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of various TLE treatment strategies for ART-naive HIV-1 infected adults in China.
A decision-tree Markov state transition model was employed to assess the cost-effectiveness of various TLE treatment strategies over a 10-year timeframe, from a societal perspective. Input parameters were obtained from published literature and publicly accessible information. Local data from the latest sources were used as input parameters whenever possible. The main outcome measure was the incremental costs per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained. Sensitivity analyses were performed to investigate model uncertainties and determine break-even prices.
Compared to the multiple-tablet regimen (MTR) consisting of efavirenz 400 mg-based TLE (TLE400) and efavirenz 600 mg-based TLE (TLE600), the single-tablet regimen (STR) of TLE400 exhibited a 10-year cost of 130733.8 CNY (compared to 122939.7 CNY and 126184.3 CNY, respectively) and an expected QALYs of 6.45 (compared to 6.27 QALYs and 6.32 QALYs, respectively) per HIV-1 patient in China. Consequently, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were 41021.6 CNY/QALY gained (equivalent to US$ 6071.2 per QALY gained) and 34996.2 CNY/QALY gained (equivalent to US$ 5179.4 per QALY gained) for TLE400 STR compared to TLE400 MTR and TLE600 MTR, respectively. The ICER for TLE400 MTR compared to TLE600 MTR was 54076.7 CNY/QALY gained (equivalent to US$ 8003.4 per QALY gained). Deterministic sensitivity analysis indicated that adherence rates to ART had the most significant influence on all three strategies. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, TLE400 STR demonstrated a 71.4% probability of being highly cost-effective nationwide, based on the one-time national-level GDP per capita.
In the context of treating HIV-1 infected adults in China, the STR of TLE400 demonstrated cost-effectiveness when compared to both the MTR of TLE400 and the MTR of TLE600.
2018年,《中国艾滋病诊疗指南》推荐采用以400毫克依非韦伦为基础的替诺福韦酯(TDF)+拉米夫定(3TC)+依非韦伦(EFV)(TLE)方案,作为中国初治HIV-1感染成人的一线主要治疗方案。然而,不同TLE治疗策略的成本效益仍不确定。本研究旨在评估中国初治HIV-1感染成人采用不同TLE治疗策略的成本效益。
采用决策树马尔可夫状态转移模型,从社会角度评估不同TLE治疗策略在10年时间范围内的成本效益。输入参数来自已发表的文献和公开可得的信息。尽可能使用最新来源的本地数据作为输入参数。主要结局指标是每获得一个质量调整生命年(QALY)的增量成本。进行敏感性分析以研究模型的不确定性并确定盈亏平衡价格。
与由400毫克依非韦伦为基础的TLE(TLE400)和600毫克依非韦伦为基础的TLE(TLE600)组成的多片制剂方案(MTR)相比,中国每例HIV-1患者采用TLE400单片制剂方案(STR)的10年成本为130733.8元人民币(分别与122939.7元和126184.3元人民币相比),预期QALY为6.45(分别与6.27个QALY和6.32个QALY相比)。因此,与TLE400 MTR和TLE600 MTR相比,TLE400 STR的增量成本效益比(ICER)分别为每获得一个QALY 41021.6元人民币(相当于每获得一个QALY 6071.2美元)和每获得一个QALY 34996.2元人民币(相当于每获得一个QALY 5179.4美元)。TLE400 MTR与TLE600 MTR相比的ICER为每获得一个QALY 54076.7元人民币(相当于每获得一个QALY 8003.4美元)。确定性敏感性分析表明,抗逆转录病毒治疗的依从率对所有三种策略影响最大。在概率敏感性分析中,基于一次性全国人均GDP,TLE400 STR在全国范围内具有高成本效益的概率为71.4%。
在中国治疗HIV-1感染成人的背景下,与TLE400 MTR和TLE600 MTR相比,TLE400 STR具有成本效益。