美国1990 - 2019年预期寿命的空间变异性与聚类分析
Spatial Variability and Clustering of Life Expectancy in the United States: 1990-2019.
作者信息
De Ramos Isabel P, McAlexander Tara P, Bilal Usama
机构信息
From the Urban Health Collaborative, Drexel Dornsife School of Public Health, Philadelphia, PA.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Drexel Dornsife School of Public Health, Philadelphia, PA.
出版信息
Epidemiology. 2025 Sep 1;36(5):616-624. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001879. Epub 2025 May 28.
BACKGROUND
Longevity has stagnated during the last decade in the United States, but this stagnation has not been homogeneous. We aimed to explore the spatial variation of life expectancy by sex across commuting zones in the contiguous United States from 1990 to 2019.
METHODS
We computed sex-specific life expectancy at birth for US commuting zones across six 5-year periods (1990-1994 to 2015-2019) and examined the spatial variability of life expectancy and clustering of baseline and changes in life expectancy during the study period.
RESULTS
Overall life expectancy increased over time for both males and females and recently stagnated, while variability has increased for females. Regardless of sex, commuting zones with low baseline life expectancy that worsened over time were concentrated in the Appalachian region and Deep South. Areas with high baseline life expectancy and improved the most over time were scattered throughout the Midwest, Northwest, and West.
CONCLUSION
The recent stagnation in life expectancy reflects wide spatial heterogeneity in changes in longevity. Growing spatial differences in longevity render males and females in the South, specifically the Appalachia and along the Mississippi River, to consistently live disproportionate short lives. Further studies should explore the contribution of different causes of death and the potential contextual drivers of these patterns.
背景
过去十年美国的预期寿命增长停滞,但这种停滞并非普遍现象。我们旨在探讨1990年至2019年期间美国本土通勤区按性别划分的预期寿命的空间差异。
方法
我们计算了美国通勤区在六个5年时间段(1990 - 1994年至2015 - 2019年)按性别划分的出生时预期寿命,并研究了预期寿命的空间变异性以及研究期间预期寿命基线和变化的聚类情况。
结果
男性和女性的总体预期寿命随时间推移有所增加,最近出现停滞,而女性的变异性有所增加。无论性别如何,基线预期寿命较低且随时间恶化的通勤区集中在阿巴拉契亚地区和美国南部腹地。基线预期寿命较高且随时间改善最多的地区分布在中西部、西北部和西部。
结论
近期预期寿命的停滞反映了长寿变化方面广泛的空间异质性。长寿方面日益扩大的空间差异使得南部地区(特别是阿巴拉契亚地区和密西西比河沿岸)的男性和女性始终过着相对较短的寿命。进一步的研究应探讨不同死因的贡献以及这些模式潜在的背景驱动因素。
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