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轻度或中度新冠肺炎的药物治疗:系统评价与网状Meta分析

Drug treatments for mild or moderate covid-19: systematic review and network meta-analysis.

作者信息

Ibrahim Sara, Siemieniuk Reed A C, Oliveros María José, Islam Nazmul, Díaz Martinez Juan Pablo, Izcovich Ariel, Qasim Anila, Zhao Yunli, Zaror Carlos, Yao Liang, Wang Ying, Vandvik Per O, Roldan Yetiani, Rochwerg Bram, Rada Gabriel, Prasad Manya, Pardo-Hernandez Hector, Mustafa Reem A, Fashami Fatemeh Mirzayeh, Miroshnychenko Anna, McLeod Shelley L, Mansilla Cristian, Lamontagne Francois, Khosravirad Azin, Honarmand Kimia, Ghadimi Maryam, Gao Ya, Foroutan Farid, Devji Tahira, Couban Rachel, Chu Derek K, Chowdhury Saifur Rahman, Chang Yaping, Bravo-Soto Gonzalo, Bosio Claudia, Biscay Diana, Bhogal Gurleen, Azab Maria, Agoritsas Thomas, Agarwal Arnav, Guyatt Gordon H, Brignardello-Petersen Romina

机构信息

Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, 1280 Main St W, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L8, Canada.

Joint first authors.

出版信息

BMJ. 2025 May 29;389:e081165. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2024-081165.


DOI:10.1136/bmj-2024-081165
PMID:40441732
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12120598/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To compare the effects of treatments for mild or moderate (that is, non-severe) coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19). DESIGN: Systematic review and network meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: Covid-19 Living Overview of Evidence Repository (covid-19 L-OVE) by the Epistemonikos Foundation, a public, living repository of covid-19 articles, from 1 January 2023 to 19 May 2024. The search also included the WHO covid-19 database (up to 17 February 2023) and six Chinese databases (up to 20 February 2021). The analysis included studies identified between 1 December 2019 and 28 June 2023. STUDY SELECTION: Randomised clinical trials in which people with suspected, probable, or confirmed mild or moderate covid-19 were allocated to drug treatment or to standard care or placebo. Pairs of reviewers independently screened potentially eligible articles. METHODS: After duplicate data abstraction, a bayesian network meta-analysis was conducted. Risk of bias was assessed by use of a modification of the Cochrane risk of bias 2.0 tool, and the certainty of the evidence using the grading of recommendations assessment, development, and evaluation (GRADE) approach. For each outcome, following GRADE guidance, drug treatments were classified in groups from the most to the least beneficial or harmful. RESULTS: Of 259 trials enrolling 166 230 patients, 187 (72%) were included in the analysis. Compared with standard care, two drugs probably reduce hospital admission: nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (25 fewer per 1000 (95% confidence interval 28 fewer to 20 fewer), moderate certainty) and remdesivir (21 fewer per 1000 (28 fewer to 7 fewer), moderate certainty). Molnupiravir and systemic corticosteroids may reduce hospital admission (low certainty). Compared with standard care, azithromycin probably reduces time to symptom resolution (mean difference 4 days fewer (5 fewer to 3 fewer), moderate certainty) and systemic corticosteroids, favipiravir, molnupiravir, and umifenovir probably also reduce duration of symptoms (moderate to high certainty). Compared with standard care, only lopinavir-ritonavir increased adverse effects leading to discontinuation. CONCLUSION: Nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and remdesivir probably reduce admission to hospital, and systemic corticosteroids and molnupiravir may reduce admission to hospital. Several medications including systemic corticosteroids and molnupiravir probably reduce time to symptom resolution. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: This review was not registered. The protocol is publicly available in the supplementary material.

摘要

目的:比较2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)轻症或中症(即非重症)治疗方法的效果。 设计:系统评价和网状Meta分析。 数据来源:Epistemonikos基金会的COVID-19循证知识库(COVID-19 L-OVE),这是一个公开的、动态更新的COVID-19文章知识库,时间范围为2023年1月1日至2024年5月19日。检索还包括世界卫生组织COVID-19数据库(截至2023年2月17日)和六个中文数据库(截至2021年2月20日)。分析纳入了2019年12月1日至2023年6月28日期间确定的研究。 研究选择:随机临床试验,将疑似、可能或确诊的轻症或中症COVID-19患者分配至药物治疗、标准护理或安慰剂组。由两名评审员独立筛选可能符合条件的文章。 方法:在重复数据提取后,进行贝叶斯网状Meta分析。使用对Cochrane偏倚风险2.0工具的修改版本评估偏倚风险,并使用推荐分级评估、制定与评价(GRADE)方法评估证据的确定性。对于每个结局,根据GRADE指南,将药物治疗从最有益到最有害或最无害进行分组。 结果:在纳入166230例患者的259项试验中,187项(72%)纳入分析。与标准护理相比,两种药物可能会降低住院率:奈玛特韦-利托那韦(每1000人减少25例(95%置信区间为减少28例至减少20例),中等确定性)和瑞德西韦(每1000人减少21例(减少28例至减少7例),中等确定性)。莫努匹拉韦和全身用糖皮质激素可能会降低住院率(低确定性)。与标准护理相比,阿奇霉素可能会缩短症状缓解时间(平均差减少4天(减少5天至减少3天),中等确定性),全身用糖皮质激素、法匹拉韦、莫努匹拉韦和乌米芬韦可能也会缩短症状持续时间(中等至高确定性)。与标准护理相比,只有洛匹那韦-利托那韦会增加导致停药的不良反应。 结论:奈玛特韦-利托那韦和瑞德西韦可能会降低住院率,全身用糖皮质激素和莫努匹拉韦可能会降低住院率。包括全身用糖皮质激素和莫努匹拉韦在内的几种药物可能会缩短症状缓解时间。 系统评价注册:本评价未注册。方案可在补充材料中公开获取。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a686/12120598/bc875f9f62f2/ibrs081165.f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a686/12120598/4d44f4f8ac90/ibrs081165.f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a686/12120598/bc875f9f62f2/ibrs081165.f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a686/12120598/4d44f4f8ac90/ibrs081165.f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a686/12120598/bc875f9f62f2/ibrs081165.f2.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Drug treatments for mild or moderate covid-19: systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BMJ. 2025-5-29

[2]
Drug treatments for covid-19: living systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BMJ. 2020-7-30

[3]
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[4]
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[5]
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[6]
[The praise of uncertainty: a systematic living review to evaluate the efficacy and safety of drug treatments for patients with covid-19.].

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[7]
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[8]
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[9]
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[10]
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[1]
Antiviral efficacy of fluoxetine in early symptomatic COVID-19: an open-label, randomised, controlled, adaptive platform trial (PLATCOV).

EClinicalMedicine. 2025-1-18

[2]
Favorable Antiviral Effect of Metformin on SARS-CoV-2 Viral Load in a Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial of COVID-19.

Clin Infect Dis. 2024-8-16

[3]
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Infect Dis Ther. 2024-5

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