Chalov Sergey, Prokopeva Kristina, Efimov Vasily, Ivanov Victor, Koffi Berenger, Botavin Dmitry, Babinski Zygmunt, Zimov Nikita, Pavlyukevich Ekaterina, Habel Michal
Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia, 119234.
Water Problems Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia, 119333.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jun 2;15(1):19320. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-02614-7.
Our study records the interaction of hydrological and periglacial processes caused by the syngenetic permafrost (yedoma) transformation on the largest Siberian River. Based on field research, remote sensing data and a 2D hydraulic modelling we performed a unique assessment of water discharge, sediment load, and sediment properties on the Duvanny Yar Yedoma (DYY), the World's largest Ice-Rich and Fine-Grained deposits complex. Rates of bank degradation of the Yedoma (0.10 Mt/year per channel kilometer) are three times those of adjacent river reaches without ice-rich complexes. Bank retreat accelerated 50% for 2001-2021 compared with 1965-1980, leading to a 20% increase in sediment transport below DYY due to silt release by mudflows and sediment resuspension. A sediment plume length reaches up to 80 km below DIY on hot days, caused by an increase in the sum of positive air temperatures leading to the permafrost thawing. Formation of retrogressive thaw slumps is expected within the next decades in the central part of the cliff. We forecast that thermo- and mechanical erosion will lead to rapid sediment delivery at rates that can be a few orders of magnitude larger than those produced by lateral migration. Our research can serve as a reference for the Arctic regions, which are characterized by extremely ice-rich permafrost.
我们的研究记录了在西伯利亚最大河流上,同生永冻土(叶状泥炭)转变所引发的水文过程与冰缘过程的相互作用。基于实地研究、遥感数据以及二维水力模型,我们对世界上最大的富含冰和细颗粒沉积物复合体——杜瓦尼娅尔叶状泥炭(DYY)的水流量、泥沙负荷及泥沙特性进行了独特评估。叶状泥炭河岸的退化速率(每河道公里每年0.10百万吨)是相邻无富含冰复合体河段的三倍。与1965 - 1980年相比,2001 - 2021年河岸退缩加速了50%,由于泥石流释放淤泥和泥沙再悬浮,导致DYY下游的泥沙输运增加了20%。在炎热天气下,DIY下游的泥沙羽流长度可达80公里,这是由正气温总和增加导致永冻土融化所致。预计在未来几十年内,悬崖中部将形成溯源解冻滑塌。我们预测,热力侵蚀和机械侵蚀将导致泥沙快速输送,其速率可能比横向迁移产生的速率大几个数量级。我们的研究可为以极其富含冰的永冻土为特征的北极地区提供参考。