Biton Barry, Puzis Rami, Pilosof Shai
Department of Life Sciences, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel.
Department of Software and Information Systems Engineering, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel.
Nat Ecol Evol. 2025 Jun 4. doi: 10.1038/s41559-025-02715-6.
Predicting species interactions (links) within ecological networks is crucial for advancing our understanding of ecosystem functioning and responses of communities to environmental changes. Transductive link prediction models are often used but are constrained by sparse, incomplete data and are limited to single networks. We addressed these issues using an inductive link prediction (ILP) approach to predict interactions within and between ecological networks by pooling data across communities and applying transfer learning. We evaluated the performance of our ILP model on 538 networks across four community types: plant-seed disperser, plant-pollinator, host-parasite and plant-herbivore, and found that it achieved higher precision and F scores than transductive models. However, cross-community prediction efficacy varied, with better performance when plant-seed disperser and host-parasite networks were used as training and test sets, compared with when plant-pollinator and plant-herbivore networks were used. Finally, leveraging the generalizability of ILP, we developed a pretrained model that ecologists could readily use to make instant predictions for their networks. This Article highlights the potential of ILP to improve prediction of ecological interactions, enabling generalization across diverse ecological contexts and bridging critical data gaps.
预测生态网络中的物种相互作用(联系)对于增进我们对生态系统功能以及群落对环境变化的响应的理解至关重要。转导性联系预测模型经常被使用,但受到稀疏、不完整数据的限制,并且仅限于单个网络。我们使用归纳性联系预测(ILP)方法来解决这些问题,通过汇集不同群落的数据并应用迁移学习来预测生态网络内部和之间的相互作用。我们在四种群落类型的538个网络上评估了我们的ILP模型的性能:植物-种子传播者、植物-传粉者、宿主-寄生虫和植物-食草动物,发现它比转导模型具有更高的精度和F分数。然而,跨群落预测效果各不相同,与使用植物-传粉者和植物-食草动物网络作为训练和测试集相比,当使用植物-种子传播者和宿主-寄生虫网络作为训练和测试集时性能更好。最后,利用ILP的通用性,我们开发了一个预训练模型,生态学家可以很容易地使用它对自己的网络进行即时预测。本文强调了ILP在改善生态相互作用预测方面的潜力,能够在不同的生态背景下进行推广并弥合关键的数据差距。