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基于联盟的银行间借贷网络建模:对风险传染动态的洞察

Alliance-based modeling of interbank lending networks: insights into risk contagion dynamics.

作者信息

Jiang Ziwen, Jiang Xu, Yan Huanlan, Xie Yu, Yao Jiamin

机构信息

XuBeihong Art Academy, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, China.

Academy of Arts & Design, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Jun 5;20(6):e0324981. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0324981. eCollection 2025.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0324981
PMID:40471952
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12140192/
Abstract

The financial market, a highly intricate and dynamic system, relies heavily on banks as its central pillars. The interactions among these banks are pivotal in shaping the stability and efficiency of the overall financial system. A comprehensive understanding of the interbank relationships and network structures is essential to uncover the underlying mechanisms that drive financial markets. This paper presents a novel approach to modeling interbank lending as a dynamic network, aiming to explore the influence of banking alliances on risk contagion dynamics. While extensive research has been dedicated to interbank lending strategies, the role of long-term cooperative alliances and their structural effects on lending behavior has remained largely underexplored. In this study, we propose an innovative interbank lending strategy that integrates alliance relationships, facilitating the construction of networks that more accurately represent the characteristics of real-world banking alliances. Through a series of simulation experiments, we investigate the risk contagion dynamics within these alliance-based networks under different external shock scenarios. Our findings provide valuable insights into the resilience and contagion mechanisms of banking alliance networks, offering practical recommendations for both financial institutions and regulators in designing more effective risk mitigation strategies.

摘要

金融市场是一个高度复杂且动态的系统,严重依赖银行作为其核心支柱。这些银行之间的相互作用对于塑造整个金融系统的稳定性和效率至关重要。全面理解银行间关系和网络结构对于揭示驱动金融市场的潜在机制至关重要。本文提出了一种将银行间借贷建模为动态网络的新颖方法,旨在探讨银行联盟对风险传染动态的影响。虽然已有大量研究致力于银行间借贷策略,但长期合作联盟的作用及其对借贷行为的结构影响在很大程度上仍未得到充分探索。在本研究中,我们提出了一种创新的银行间借贷策略,该策略整合了联盟关系,有助于构建更准确反映现实世界银行联盟特征的网络。通过一系列模拟实验,我们研究了在不同外部冲击情景下这些基于联盟的网络内的风险传染动态。我们的研究结果为银行联盟网络的弹性和传染机制提供了有价值的见解,为金融机构和监管机构设计更有效的风险缓解策略提供了实际建议。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/10a4/12140192/6bd820026780/pone.0324981.g010.jpg
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