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巴基斯坦主要城市集聚经济对环境影响的实证研究。

An empirical investigation of environmental impacts of agglomeration economies in major cities of Pakistan.

作者信息

Ghafoor Naghmana, Ghafoor Gul Zareen, Sharif Faiza

机构信息

Department of Economics, Lahore College for Women University, Lahore, Pakistan.

Sustainable Development Study Centre, Government College University, Lahore, Pakistan.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jun 5;15(1):19831. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-03871-2.

Abstract

Agglomeration economies arise when firms and people co-locate in cities. These economies are determined by city's activity, size, land and labor prices, and affect the overall environmental conditions of cities in developing economies. The present study empirically investigates environmental impacts of agglomeration economies in major cities of Pakistan during 2002-2019, using Dynamic Fixed Effects (DFE), Pooled Mean Group (PMG), and Mean Group (MG). The findings of the MG model reveal that over the time, the physical environment is negatively affected by agglomeration economies; e.g. population increase (-1.89, p < 0.05), increase in number of factories (-7.11, p < 0.001), increased number of registered vehicles (-1.02, p < 0.05), by creating pressures on human health, civic amenities, and air quality of cities. The study suggests decentralization of big cities, and reshaping of medium and small cities to control population pressure and industrial pollution in major cities of Pakistan.

摘要

当企业和人口在城市中集聚时,集聚经济就会产生。这些经济因素由城市的活动、规模、土地和劳动力价格决定,并影响发展中经济体城市的整体环境状况。本研究使用动态固定效应(DFE)、混合平均组(PMG)和平均组(MG)方法,对2002年至2019年期间巴基斯坦主要城市集聚经济的环境影响进行了实证研究。MG模型的研究结果表明,随着时间的推移,集聚经济对自然环境有负面影响;例如,人口增加(-1.89,p<0.05)、工厂数量增加(-7.11,p<0.001)、注册车辆数量增加(-1.02,p<0.05),这些都对城市的人类健康、市政设施和空气质量造成了压力。该研究建议对大城市进行分散化,并对中小城市进行重塑,以控制巴基斯坦主要城市的人口压力和工业污染。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/858b/12141506/f661320d928a/41598_2025_3871_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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