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老年髋部骨折合并心房颤动患者住院结局的预测因素:一项全国住院患者样本分析。

Predictors for in-hospital outcomes in older patients with hip fracture and atrial fibrillation: A Nationwide Inpatient Sample analysis.

作者信息

Chen Kuan-Ju, Chen Jr-Kai

机构信息

Department of Emergency, Veteran General Hospital, Taichung, Taiwan.

Department of Orthopedic, Changhua Christian hospital, Taiwan; Department of kinesiology, healthy, and leisure, Chienkuo Technology University, Taiwan.

出版信息

Arch Gerontol Geriatr. 2025 Oct;137:105916. doi: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.105916. Epub 2025 May 30.

Abstract

PURPOSE

Older adults with pre-existing atrial fibrillation (AF) who sustain a hip fracture that requires surgery are at increased risk of morbidity and mortality. This study aims to identify predictors of in-hospital mortality and prolonged length of stay (LOS) in these patients.

METHODS

The United States (US) Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database was retrospectively reviewed for patients ≥ 60 years old with AF who underwent surgical management of a hip fracture between 2016 and 2020. Outcomes evaluated were in-hospital mortality and prolonged LOS (≥ 7 days). Multivariable logistic regressions were performed to identify risk factors for these outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 43,667 eligible patients, the strongest predictors for in-hospital mortality were sepsis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 6.45), respiratory failure (aOR = 5.91), liver disorders (aOR = 2.61), and acute kidney injury (aOR = 2.40). Other predictors were pneumonia, advanced age, high Injury Severity Score (ISS ≥ 16), deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). For prolonged LOS, the strongest independent predictors included sepsis (aOR = 4.84), pneumonia (aOR = 3.25), deep vein thrombosis (aOR = 4.62), respiratory failure, and advanced age.

CONCLUSION

These results indicate the impact of critical complications and comorbidities on in-hospital mortality and LOS in elderly hip fracture patients with pre-existing AF. These findings particularly support the need for vigilance and enhanced perioperative management targeting sepsis, respiratory complications, and kidney function to improve outcomes in this high-risk group.

摘要

目的

患有心房颤动(AF)且因髋部骨折需要手术的老年患者,其发病和死亡风险增加。本研究旨在确定这些患者住院死亡率及住院时间延长的预测因素。

方法

对美国全国住院患者样本(NIS)数据库进行回顾性分析,纳入2016年至2020年间年龄≥60岁、因髋部骨折接受手术治疗的AF患者。评估的结局指标为住院死亡率和住院时间延长(≥7天)。采用多变量逻辑回归分析确定这些结局的危险因素。

结果

在43667例符合条件的患者中,住院死亡率的最强预测因素为脓毒症(校正比值比[aOR]=6.45)、呼吸衰竭(aOR=5.91)、肝脏疾病(aOR=2.61)和急性肾损伤(aOR=2.40)。其他预测因素包括肺炎、高龄、高损伤严重度评分(ISS≥16)、深静脉血栓形成、肺栓塞和射血分数降低的心力衰竭(HFrEF)。对于住院时间延长,最强的独立预测因素包括脓毒症(aOR=4.84)、肺炎(aOR=3.25)、深静脉血栓形成(aOR=4.62)、呼吸衰竭和高龄。

结论

这些结果表明严重并发症和合并症对患有AF的老年髋部骨折患者住院死亡率和住院时间的影响。这些发现特别支持在这一高危人群中,需要针对脓毒症、呼吸并发症和肾功能进行警惕并加强围手术期管理,以改善预后。

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