Wang Guoli, Guan Bao, Du Yicong, Tang Qi, Xu Chunru, Yang Qian, Ren Hanzhen, Zhang Huifeng, Cao Chao, Luo Kaishun, Li Zhihua, Zhou Liqun, Zhang Kai, Li Xuesong
Department of Urology, Peking University First Hospital, No. 8 Xishiku Street, Xicheng District, , Beijing, 100034, China.
Institute of Urology, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Discov Oncol. 2025 Jun 19;16(1):1155. doi: 10.1007/s12672-025-02698-7.
There is a lack of consensus regarding the follow-up schedule for patients with upper-tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) who remain bladder recurrence-free for 5 years after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). In this study, we aimed to identify the risk factors for late recurrence in UTUC patients who remained bladder recurrence-free for at least 5 years post-RNU. Data from a large single-center Chinese institution were retrospectively analyzed. A total of 939 patients who remained recurrence-free for at least 5 years post-RNU were included in this study. To determine the risk factors for late bladder recurrence after RNU, we applied univariate and multivariate analyses using the Fine-Gray model, considering death as a competing risk. During a median follow-up of 97 months, 45 (4.8%) developed bladder recurrence, 207 (22%) died, and 61 (6.5%) succumbed to UTUC. The cumulative risk of bladder recurrence was 6.3% at 10 years and 13.9% at 15 years. The peak incidence of late bladder recurrence was observed between 70 and 90 months post-RNU. Univariate analysis revealed that Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) stage 5 was significantly associated with late bladder recurrence.Multivariate analysis revealed that CKD stage 5 and tumor diameter less than 3 cm were independent risk factors for late bladder recurrence. These findings indicate that late bladder recurrence is uncommon and patients with CKD stage 5 or tumor diameter less than 3 cm are at a higher risk of late bladder recurrence, warranting prolonged cystoscopic surveillance for for 5 to 10 years post-RNU.
对于接受根治性肾输尿管切除术(RNU)后膀胱无复发达5年的上尿路尿路上皮癌(UTUC)患者的随访方案,目前尚无共识。在本研究中,我们旨在确定RNU术后膀胱无复发至少5年的UTUC患者发生晚期复发的危险因素。我们对来自中国一家大型单中心机构的数据进行了回顾性分析。本研究共纳入939例RNU术后至少5年无复发的患者。为了确定RNU术后晚期膀胱复发的危险因素,我们使用Fine-Gray模型进行单因素和多因素分析,将死亡视为竞争风险。在中位随访97个月期间,45例(4.8%)发生膀胱复发,207例(22%)死亡,61例(6.5%)死于UTUC。膀胱复发的累积风险在10年时为6.3%,在15年时为13.9%。晚期膀胱复发的高峰发病率出现在RNU术后70至90个月之间。单因素分析显示,慢性肾脏病(CKD)5期与晚期膀胱复发显著相关。多因素分析显示,CKD 5期和肿瘤直径小于3 cm是晚期膀胱复发的独立危险因素。这些发现表明,晚期膀胱复发并不常见,CKD 5期或肿瘤直径小于3 cm的患者发生晚期膀胱复发的风险较高,因此在RNU术后需要进行5至10年的长期膀胱镜监测。