Amberg Felix, Blanchet Karl, Singh Neha S, Ridde Valéry, Bonnet Emmanuel, Yaméogo Pierre, Sie Ali, Seynou Mariam, Lohmann Julia, De Allegri Manuela
Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Heidelberg University Hospital and Medical Faculty, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
Geneva Centre of Humanitarian Studies, University of Geneva Faculty of Medicine, Geneva, Switzerland.
BMJ Glob Health. 2025 Jun 19;10(6):e015507. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-015507.
Armed conflict is increasing in sub-Saharan Africa, impacting access to vital health services. However, scant evidence exists on the effects of the recently escalated conflict in Burkina Faso, a country severely affected by rising violence.
We conducted a longitudinal study, aligning conflict event data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program with Burkina Faso's Health Management Information System data spanning from 2013 to 2021. Applying negative binomial regression models with health facility fixed effects, we assessed the impact of nearby armed conflict events (within 25 km of primary healthcare centres) on access to six essential maternal and child health services. We investigated effect heterogeneity by varying conflict intensity and duration, and facility characteristics.
Any nearby armed conflict significantly reduced the incidence of all examined health services, except for non-significant caesarean section declines. Specifically, antenatal care 4 visits decreased by 3.9%, facility-based deliveries by 7.2%, caesarean sections by 9.4%, postnatal care 1 visits by 4.3% and outpatient care visits for children under 5 and aged 5-14 by 7.2% and 12.0%, respectively. High-intensity conflict events significantly amplified the negative effects across all health services. We observed less pronounced effects on children under 5 compared with those aged 5-14 not encompassed by existing fee removal policies. Prolonged conflicts did not adversely affect outpatient care visits for children. Rural facilities bore a more pronounced effect than urban facilities.
Our findings show a significant disruption of health services due to contemporaneous conflict in Burkina Faso. However, child curative care services seem to exhibit a stabilisation trend in prolonged conflicts, and the mitigating effects of existing fee removal policies were evident. This underscores the need for nuanced policy interventions that consider varying conflict intensities, service types and financing schemes and highlights the importance of detailed, fine-scale analyses during conflict scenarios.
撒哈拉以南非洲的武装冲突不断增加,影响了人们获得重要卫生服务的机会。然而,对于布基纳法索近期升级的冲突所产生的影响,现有的证据很少,该国受到暴力活动增加的严重影响。
我们进行了一项纵向研究,将乌普萨拉冲突数据计划的冲突事件数据与布基纳法索2013年至2021年的卫生管理信息系统数据进行比对。应用具有卫生设施固定效应的负二项回归模型,我们评估了附近武装冲突事件(在初级医疗中心25公里范围内)对获得六项基本母婴健康服务的影响。我们通过改变冲突强度和持续时间以及设施特征来研究效应异质性。
附近发生的任何武装冲突都显著降低了所有检查的卫生服务的发生率,但剖宫产下降不显著除外。具体而言,产前检查4次的次数减少了3.9%,机构分娩减少了7.2%,剖宫产减少了9.4%,产后检查1次的次数减少了4.3%,5岁以下儿童和5至14岁儿童的门诊就诊次数分别减少了7.2%和12.0%。高强度冲突事件显著放大了对所有卫生服务的负面影响。与5至14岁儿童相比,我们观察到对5岁以下儿童的影响较小,5至14岁儿童不在现有的取消费用政策范围内。长期冲突并未对儿童门诊就诊产生不利影响。农村设施受到的影响比城市设施更为明显。
我们的研究结果表明,布基纳法索当前的冲突对卫生服务造成了重大破坏。然而,儿童治疗性护理服务在长期冲突中似乎呈现出稳定趋势,现有的取消费用政策的缓解效果明显。这凸显了需要采取细致入微的政策干预措施,考虑不同的冲突强度、服务类型和融资方案,并强调了在冲突情况下进行详细、精细分析的重要性。