财富与家庭形成：来自德国首次同居、婚姻及生育情况的见解

Wealth and Family Formation: Insights from First Cohabitation, Marriage, and Birth in Germany.

作者信息

Lersch Philipp M

机构信息

DIW Berlin, Mohrenstr. 58, 10117, Berlin, Germany.

Einstein Center Population Diversity, Berlin, Germany.

出版信息

Eur J Popul. 2025 Jul 1;41(1):16. doi: 10.1007/s10680-025-09738-6.

DOI:10.1007/s10680-025-09738-6

PMID:40591012

原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12214174/

Abstract

Existing research has demonstrated that wealthier individuals differ in family formation. Potential explanations draw on wealth's use and symbolic value as well as the relative economic bar of family formation. This study examines the relationship between wealth and three family formation events in Germany: first cohabitation, marriage, and birth. Data from the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (2002-2017) are used with multi-state, competing-risk, discrete-time event history analysis. Results show that wealth, primarily driven by homeownership, significantly influences cohabitation, marriage, and birth. The impact of homeownership is particularly notable for marriage and birth and shows gender-specific associations for cohabitants. The findings highlight the substantial influence of wealth-most likely through its symbolic and use value-in shaping family formation while indicating limited support for a relative economic bar in Germany.

摘要

现有研究表明，较富裕的个人在家庭组建方面存在差异。潜在的解释涉及财富的用途和象征价值，以及家庭组建的相对经济门槛。本研究考察了德国财富与三个家庭组建事件之间的关系：首次同居、结婚和生育。使用了德国社会经济面板研究（2002 - 2017年）的数据，并进行多状态、竞争风险、离散时间事件史分析。结果表明，主要由住房所有权驱动的财富对同居、结婚和生育有显著影响。住房所有权对结婚和生育的影响尤为显著，并且对同居者显示出特定性别的关联。研究结果突出了财富（很可能通过其象征和使用价值）在塑造家庭组建方面的重大影响，同时表明在德国对相对经济门槛的支持有限。