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对加利福尼亚州家庭数据的联合概率建模表明,在1999 - 2004年美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)中,年度农药使用量与过去一个月的农药使用量之间存在很强的相关性。

Joint probability modeling of data from California homes suggests strong correlations between annual and past month pesticide use in NHANES 1999-2004.

作者信息

Schneiderman Moshe

机构信息

State University of New York Downstate College of Medicine, 450 Clarkson Avenue, Brooklyn, NY, 11203, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 1;15(1):22200. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-01861-y.

Abstract

The health risks associated with chronic home pesticide use are not fully understood, partly due to a scarcity of large-scale studies containing the requisite data on long-term exposure. The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2004, which includes data on indoor and outdoor pesticide use in the past month, offers a potential resource. If past-month use reflects long-term exposure, the NHANES data could facilitate investigation into the health risks associated with chronic pesticide use. To address this question, this study evaluates the correlation between long-term and past-month pesticide use. Using data from 477 California households, joint probability models were constructed to calculate the correlation between categories of annual pesticide use frequency and the binary indicator of past-month use. The model results indicated strong correlations: 0.766 for indoor spray and 0.733 for outdoor spray in the California sample. Additional data from other U.S. regions also suggests a strong link between these variables. Overall, the findings support the utilization of past-month pesticide use as a good proxy for chronic use, validating the use of the NHANES 1999-2004 data for the exploration of the health risks associated with chronic residential pesticide exposure.

摘要

与长期在家中使用农药相关的健康风险尚未完全明确,部分原因是缺乏包含长期接触所需数据的大规模研究。1999 - 2004年的美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)提供了一个潜在资源,该调查包含了过去一个月室内和室外农药使用的数据。如果过去一个月的使用情况反映了长期接触,那么NHANES数据将有助于调查与长期使用农药相关的健康风险。为了解决这个问题,本研究评估了长期农药使用与过去一个月农药使用之间的相关性。利用来自477个加利福尼亚家庭的数据,构建了联合概率模型,以计算年度农药使用频率类别与过去一个月使用情况的二元指标之间的相关性。模型结果显示出很强的相关性:在加利福尼亚样本中,室内喷雾为0.766,室外喷雾为0.733。来自美国其他地区的额外数据也表明这些变量之间存在紧密联系。总体而言,研究结果支持将过去一个月的农药使用情况作为长期使用的良好替代指标,从而验证了利用1999 - 2004年NHANES数据来探索与长期居住环境中农药接触相关的健康风险的做法。

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