Liang Jun, Liu Mingyu, Zhang Zongjia, Yang Lili
Department of Statistics and Data Science, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, 518055, China.
Guangzhou Urban Planning & Design Survey Research Institute, Guangzhou, 510060, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 2;15(1):23643. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-06374-2.
The increasing impact of urban floods, driven by global climate change and the growing frequency of extreme weather events, poses significant threats to public safety, disrupts infrastructure, and hampers economic development. This paper presents a two-stage model for shortest path planning and dynamic dispatching of rescue forces (firefighters and fire engines) in response to urban floods caused by extreme rainfall. In the first stage, a path selection model for rescue vehicles is developed, supported by an efficient customized A* algorithm to determine worst-case travel times from fire stations to flood sites. A preference-based version of the algorithm is also introduced, incorporating driver preferences into path selection. In the second stage, rescue forces are dynamically allocated based on demand at flooded locations, which is estimated using population density and real-time flood depth data. The travel times derived in the first stage serve as inputs to a bi-objective dynamic dispatch model that utilizes real-time flood data to optimize emergency response. By integrating path planning with rescue force dispatching, this study provides essential support for effective flood response operations.
全球气候变化和极端天气事件频发导致城市洪水影响日益增大,对公共安全构成重大威胁,破坏基础设施,并阻碍经济发展。本文提出了一个两阶段模型,用于应对极端降雨引发的城市洪水时救援力量(消防员和消防车)的最短路径规划和动态调度。在第一阶段,开发了救援车辆的路径选择模型,由高效定制的A*算法支持,以确定从消防站到洪水地点的最坏情况出行时间。还引入了基于偏好的算法版本,将驾驶员偏好纳入路径选择。在第二阶段,根据洪水地点的需求动态分配救援力量,需求使用人口密度和实时洪水深度数据进行估计。第一阶段得出的出行时间作为双目标动态调度模型的输入,该模型利用实时洪水数据优化应急响应。通过将路径规划与救援力量调度相结合,本研究为有效的洪水应对行动提供了重要支持。