Lin Cheng-Horng, Lai Ya-Chuan, Shih Min-Hung
Institute of Earth Sciences, Academia Sinica, 128, Sec. 2, Academia Rd., Nankang, Taipei, 115201, Taiwan.
Taiwan Volcano Observatory at Tatun, 89, Lane 101, Jingshan Rd., Shilin, Taipei, 111094, Taiwan.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 7;15(1):24333. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-09558-y.
The Tatun Volcano Group (TVG), located at the northern tip of Taiwan, is situated near the Taipei metropolitan area. A future eruption of the TVG could have a significant impact not only on Taipei but also on the global economy, as Taiwan produces over 90% of the world's most advanced semiconductor chips. Although a magma reservoir has been identified beneath the TVG, it remains uncertain whether it contains eruptible magma. Using seismic data recorded by the Formosa Array, we detected strong seismic reflections from the magma reservoir. Both travel-time modeling and polarization of these reflections indicate that the top of the reservoir lies at a depth of approximately 13-15 km-significantly deeper than the ~ 8 km depth previously estimated from seismic tomography. This notable discrepancy supports a conceptual model in which magma reservoirs are divided into eruptible and non-eruptible portions. Our findings suggest that a substantial amount of eruptible magma may exist beneath the TVG. However, a volcanic eruption would only occur if the pressure from accumulating magma exceeds the rock load of the overlying crust.
大屯火山群(TVG)位于台湾北端,靠近台北都会区。TVG未来的火山喷发不仅可能对台北,而且可能对全球经济产生重大影响,因为台湾生产全球90%以上最先进的半导体芯片。尽管已在TVG下方确定了一个岩浆库,但尚不确定其中是否含有可喷发的岩浆。利用福尔摩沙阵列记录的地震数据,我们检测到了来自岩浆库的强烈地震反射。这些反射的走时建模和极化都表明,岩浆库顶部位于约13 - 15公里深处,比之前通过地震层析成像估计的约8公里深度要深得多。这一显著差异支持了一个概念模型,即岩浆库分为可喷发和不可喷发部分。我们的研究结果表明,TVG下方可能存在大量可喷发的岩浆。然而,只有当累积岩浆产生的压力超过上覆地壳的岩石负荷时,才会发生火山喷发。