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从牛奶和乳制品中分离出的大肠杆菌的流行率和抗菌药物耐药性的网络荟萃分析:全球视角

Network meta-analysis of the prevalence and antimicrobial resistance of Escherichia coli isolated from bovine milk and dairy products: A global perspective.

作者信息

Mahmoudi Peyman, Rashidi Amir, Idrees Hama Faraj Skala

机构信息

Department of Animal Science, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Kurdistan, Sanandaj, 6617715175 Iran.

Department of Animal Science, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Kurdistan, Sanandaj, 6617715175 Iran.

出版信息

J Dairy Sci. 2025 Sep;108(9):9330-9344. doi: 10.3168/jds.2024-26197. Epub 2025 Jul 8.

DOI:10.3168/jds.2024-26197
PMID:40639657
Abstract

Antimicrobial resistance poses a significant challenge to global health, particularly concerning bacteria in the food we consume. Pathogens such as Escherichia coli, commonly found in milk and dairy products, are increasingly resistant to multiple antimicrobials due to the overuse and misuse of these drugs in both human medicine and agricultural practices. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and resistance rate to various antimicrobials of E. coli isolated from bovine milk and dairy products. A total of 236 studies, encompassing 287,792 E. coli isolates, were included in the network meta-analysis. Additionally, 197 studies, contributing 93,746 E. coli isolates, were used for meta-analysis of E. coli prevalence. A Bayesian approach and Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations were employed for antimicrobial resistance data analysis. The results were presented as odds ratios along with 95% credible intervals. The surface under the cumulative ranking curve was applied to rank antimicrobials and antimicrobial classes. Network meta-regressions were carried out to investigate the impact of variables such as sample sizes, pathogenicity of E. coli strains, animal health status, location of study conducted, and development status of country where study conducted on the overall results. The prevalence of E. coli in milk and dairy products was 25% globally. The outcomes indicated a notable resistance among E. coli isolates sourced from bovine milk and related products toward penicillins and sulfonamides. Conversely, resistance to newer generations of antimicrobials such as carbapenems (imipenem and meropenem) and fluoroquinolones (levofloxacin) was notably lower in E. coli isolates. Noteworthy lower resistance was also observed among other antimicrobial categories, including polymyxins (colistin) and fourth-generation cephalosporin (cefepime) antimicrobials. The study also underscored a significant difference in resistance levels between pathogenic and nonpathogenic strains of E. coli, with pathogenic strains displaying notably higher resistance levels (39.18% vs. 30.17%). Furthermore, geographical disparities in antimicrobial resistance were evident, with E. coli isolates from developing countries exhibiting markedly higher resistance levels compared with those from developed countries (36.86% vs. 23.22%). Lastly, the predictive analysis conducted in this study indicated that by the year 2040, it is anticipated that over half of E. coli isolates will be resistant to current antimicrobial agents, showing a troubling projection of increasing antimicrobial resistance among E. coli strains. This network meta-analysis offers a comprehensive examination of global resistance trends and their evolving nature. Although resistance to carbapenems and fourth-generation cephalosporins was found to be lower, increasing resistance in general underlines the urgent requirement for multifaceted treatment approaches to maintain the efficacy of antimicrobials against E. coli, particularly its pathogenic strains.

摘要

抗菌素耐药性对全球健康构成重大挑战,尤其是我们食用的食物中的细菌。常见于牛奶和乳制品中的大肠杆菌等病原体,由于这些药物在人类医学和农业实践中的过度使用和滥用,对多种抗菌素的耐药性日益增强。本研究旨在调查从牛奶和乳制品中分离出的大肠杆菌对各种抗菌素的流行率和耐药率。网络荟萃分析共纳入236项研究,涉及287,792株大肠杆菌分离株。此外,197项研究(涉及93,746株大肠杆菌分离株)用于大肠杆菌流行率的荟萃分析。采用贝叶斯方法和马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗模拟进行抗菌素耐药性数据分析。结果以比值比及95%可信区间呈现。累积排序曲线下面积用于对抗菌素和抗菌类别进行排序。进行网络荟萃回归以研究样本量、大肠杆菌菌株致病性、动物健康状况、研究开展地点以及开展研究国家的发展状况等变量对总体结果的影响。全球牛奶和乳制品中大肠杆菌的流行率为25%。结果表明,源自牛奶及相关产品的大肠杆菌分离株对青霉素和磺胺类药物有显著耐药性。相反,大肠杆菌分离株对碳青霉烯类(亚胺培南和美罗培南)和氟喹诺酮类(左氧氟沙星)等新一代抗菌素的耐药性明显较低。在其他抗菌类别中,包括多粘菌素(黏菌素)和第四代头孢菌素(头孢吡肟)类抗菌素,也观察到耐药性明显较低。该研究还强调了大肠杆菌致病菌株和非致病菌株在耐药水平上的显著差异,致病菌株的耐药水平明显更高(39.18%对30.17%)。此外,抗菌素耐药性的地理差异明显,发展中国家的大肠杆菌分离株耐药水平明显高于发达国家(36.86%对23.22%)。最后,本研究进行的预测分析表明,到2040年,预计超过一半的大肠杆菌分离株将对目前的抗菌药物产生耐药性,这显示出大肠杆菌菌株抗菌素耐药性增加的令人担忧的预测。这项网络荟萃分析全面审视了全球耐药趋势及其不断变化的性质。尽管发现对碳青霉烯类和第四代头孢菌素的耐药性较低,但总体上耐药性的增加凸显了采取多方面治疗方法以维持抗菌药物对大肠杆菌,特别是其致病菌株疗效的迫切需求。

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