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增材制造工艺的生命周期评估与多标准决策分析,以实现最佳性能和可持续性。

Life cycle assessment and multicriteria decision making analysis of additive manufacturing processes towards optimal performance and sustainability.

作者信息

Raut Jayant M, Pande Prashant B, Madurwar Kamlesh V, Bhagat Rajesh M, Uparkar Satyajit S, Shelke Nilesh, Isleem Haytham F, Vairagade Vikrant S

机构信息

Department of Civil Engineering, Yeshwantrao Chavan College of Engineering, Nagpur, Maharashtra, 441110, India.

Department of Civil Engineering, Priyadarshini Bhagwati College of Engineering, Nagpur, Maharashtra, 440024, India.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 11;15(1):25167. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-92025-5.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-92025-5
PMID:40646116
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12254387/
Abstract

The pressing need for sustainable construction materials and processes has been driving research into the optimum environmental and economic efficiency of Additive Manufacturing (AM). Most models available for Life Cycle Assessment (LCA), however, do not capture the dynamism of real-time data and the existing levels of uncertainty, and decision-making frameworks are not adaptive to evolving sets of criteria. In this paper, these described limitations are addressed through the introduction of an integrated approach that couples predictive Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) with Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), dynamic decision criteria weighting via Stochastic Forest for Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), and multi-objective optimization using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). In this study, GPR-based predictive LCA is conducted using historical and real-time environmental data for modeling impact categories of CO and energy use. This methodology makes estimates of not only the mean impact but also allows quantification of the uncertainties through confidence intervals and dynamic LCA. Stochastic Forest algorithm will enhance the traditional MCDA by weighting decision criteria like cost, environmental impact, and durability, in a more dynamic manner aligning to real-time manufacturing performance for better decision-making. Further, PSO will optimize material and process parameters to balance the multiple objectives of material strength, energy efficiency, and cost-effectiveness. In this way, this integrative novel approach of machine learning with bioinspired optimization contributes to the sustainability of AM. Experimental results prove that predictive accuracy can be achieved up to 85-90% by GPR, which reduces material wastage by 12%. By using Stochastic Forest, an improvement in decision accuracy can be attained to the extent of 15-20%, together with a cut in costs of about 10%. For its part, PSO optimizes design and manufacturing parameters for the materials, raising their efficiency by 10-15%, while the energy consumption goes down by 8-12%. The next framework is an important step toward integrating the steps reviewed for the development of sustainable Additive Manufacturing practices. This framework overcomes the present limitations of the LCA model by introducing dynamic predictive modeling using Gaussian Process Regression, real-time adaptive decision-making through Stochastic Forest, and multi-objective optimization through Particle Swarm Optimization. This integration of the techniques in the framework would help address the real-time data and uncertainties that are inherent for adaptive and sustainable solutions in additive manufacturing processes.

摘要

对可持续建筑材料和工艺的迫切需求推动了对增材制造(AM)最佳环境和经济效率的研究。然而,大多数现有的生命周期评估(LCA)模型无法捕捉实时数据的动态性和现有的不确定性水平,并且决策框架无法适应不断变化的标准集。在本文中,通过引入一种综合方法来解决上述局限性,该方法将预测性生命周期评估(LCA)与高斯过程回归(GPR)相结合,通过随机森林进行动态决策标准加权以进行多标准决策分析(MCDA),并使用粒子群优化(PSO)进行多目标优化。在本研究中,基于GPR的预测性LCA使用历史和实时环境数据对一氧化碳和能源使用的影响类别进行建模。这种方法不仅可以估计平均影响,还可以通过置信区间和动态LCA对不确定性进行量化。随机森林算法将通过以更动态的方式对成本、环境影响和耐久性等决策标准进行加权来增强传统的MCDA,使其与实时制造性能保持一致,以实现更好的决策。此外,PSO将优化材料和工艺参数,以平衡材料强度、能源效率和成本效益等多个目标。通过这种方式,这种将机器学习与生物启发式优化相结合的新颖方法有助于增材制造的可持续性。实验结果证明,GPR的预测准确率可达85-90%,可减少12%的材料浪费。通过使用随机森林,决策准确率可提高15-20%,同时成本可降低约10%。就PSO而言,它优化了材料的设计和制造参数,将其效率提高了10-15%,同时能源消耗降低了8-12%。下一个框架是朝着整合为可持续增材制造实践发展而审查的步骤迈出的重要一步。该框架通过引入使用高斯过程回归的动态预测建模、通过随机森林进行实时自适应决策以及通过粒子群优化进行多目标优化,克服了LCA模型目前的局限性。框架中这些技术的整合将有助于解决增材制造过程中自适应和可持续解决方案所固有的实时数据和不确定性问题。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/0703030e329a/41598_2025_92025_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/abe40022630c/41598_2025_92025_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/86c1ea5705b3/41598_2025_92025_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/e3619c42f23d/41598_2025_92025_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/0703030e329a/41598_2025_92025_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/abe40022630c/41598_2025_92025_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/86c1ea5705b3/41598_2025_92025_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/e3619c42f23d/41598_2025_92025_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5880/12254387/0703030e329a/41598_2025_92025_Fig4_HTML.jpg

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