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中国京津冀城市群生态环境质量的时空演变及驱动因素

Spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of eco-environmental quality in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration in China.

作者信息

Liu Lemeng, Long Jinghua, Zhang Wei, Yang Jintian

机构信息

School of Public Administration, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang, 050061, China.

Design School, Xi' an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou City, 215123, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 15;15(1):25631. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-11751-y.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-11751-y
PMID:40664802
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12263879/
Abstract

This study utilized Google Earth Engine (GEE) to compute the Remote Sensing Ecological Index (RSEI) and assess the spatiotemporal evolution of eco-environmental quality in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) urban agglomeration from 2000 to 2020. Additionally, Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) was used to examine how climatic, topographical, urbanization, soil, and biological factors influenced eco-environmental quality dynamics. The results showed that from 2000 to 2020, RSEI exhibited a fluctuating decline, with the proportion of areas having the highest RSEI dropping from 7.99% in 2000 to 1.20% in 2020, while regions with poor and worst RSEI levels followed a fluctuating upward trend, rising from 4.80 to 15.89%. NDVI emerged as the dominant driver of RSEI in the BTH urban agglomeration, with its contribution to the principal components peaking in 2000 and exhibiting a fluctuating downward trend thereafter until 2020. In 2015, LST turned positive in PC and similarity dropped, indicating a shift in ecological mechanisms. During this period, the ranking of key influencing factors was biological > climatic > soil > topographical > urbanization. Furthermore, the spatial distribution of RSEI exhibited distinct clustering patterns, with H-H regions mainly located in the Bashang Plateau in northern BTH, while L-L regions were concentrated in the southeastern plains, gradually expanding from scattered points to more continuous areas.

摘要

本研究利用谷歌地球引擎(GEE)计算遥感生态指数(RSEI),并评估2000年至2020年京津冀城市群生态环境质量的时空演变。此外,采用偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)来研究气候、地形、城市化、土壤和生物因素如何影响生态环境质量动态。结果表明,2000年至2020年,RSEI呈波动下降趋势,RSEI最高的区域比例从2000年的7.99%降至2020年的1.20%,而RSEI水平较差和最差的区域则呈波动上升趋势,从4.80%升至15.89%。归一化植被指数(NDVI)是京津冀城市群RSEI的主要驱动因素,其对主成分的贡献在2000年达到峰值,此后呈波动下降趋势,直至2020年。2015年,地表温度(LST)在主成分中变为正值且相似度下降,表明生态机制发生了转变。在此期间,关键影响因素的排名为生物>气候>土壤>地形>城市化。此外,RSEI的空间分布呈现出明显的聚类模式,高-高(H-H)区域主要位于京津冀北部的坝上高原,而低-低(L-L)区域集中在东南部平原,从分散的点逐渐扩展到更连续的区域。

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