Wu Nan, Wang Jian, Hu Yingchu, Du Tingsha, Shu Peng, Shen Caijie, Chen Xiaomin
Department of Cardiology, Ningbo First Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315000, Zhejiang, China.
Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315211, Zhejiang, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jul 15;15(1):25636. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-11329-8.
We aimed to clarify the distribution of the spatiotemporal burden of Low physical activity (LPA)-related cardiovascular disease (CVD) at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2021. We systematically extracted Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 data on CVD burden attributable to LPA from 1990 to 2021, stratified by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintiles and 21 GBD geographical regions. Three complementary metrics were employed: (1) Age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and (2) Disability-Adjusted Life Year (DALY) rate provided cross-sectional burden estimates, while (3) Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) quantified temporal trends in ASDR/DALY rates. The EAPC-derived trend patterns were further analyzed in conjunction with SDI levels and regional variations to identify disparities in physical inactivity-related CVD burden. The age-standardized DALY rate (EAPC = -1.30) and ASDR (EAPC = -1.41) for CVD attributable to LPA showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 2021. The highest age-standardized DALY rate and ASDR per 100,000 population across all five SDI regions were observed in the Low-middle SDI region (111.53; 5.67). Among the 21 geographic regions and 204 countries, the highest age-standardized DALY rate and ASDR per 100,000 population for CVD attributable to LPA in 2021 were both reported in North Africa and the Middle East (211.62; 10.50), with Sudan having the highest rates (616.58; 24.56). The largest increase in the age-standardized DALY rate from 1990 to 2021 was observed in Southeast Asia (EAPC = 0.19), while the most substantial increase in ASDR was noted in Southern sub-Saharan Africa (EAPC = 0.44). Both the age- standardized DALY rate and ASDR increased the most in Lesotho (EAPC = 2.30; EAPC = 2.39). Although the global burden of CVD attributable to LPA has decreased from 1990 to 2021, the burden remains significant in low- and middle-income countries.
我们旨在阐明1990年至2021年期间,全球、区域和国家层面与低体力活动(LPA)相关的心血管疾病(CVD)的时空负担分布情况。我们系统地提取了《2021年全球疾病负担研究》(GBD 2021)中1990年至2021年期间归因于LPA的CVD负担数据,并按社会人口指数(SDI)五分位数和21个GBD地理区域进行分层。采用了三个互补指标:(1)年龄标准化死亡率(ASDR)和(2)伤残调整生命年(DALY)率提供横断面负担估计,而(3)估计年度百分比变化(EAPC)量化ASDR/DALY率的时间趋势。结合SDI水平和区域差异,进一步分析EAPC得出的趋势模式,以确定缺乏体力活动相关CVD负担的差异。1990年至2021年期间,归因于LPA的CVD的年龄标准化DALY率(EAPC = -1.30)和ASDR(EAPC = -1.41)呈下降趋势。在所有五个SDI区域中,中低SDI区域的年龄标准化DALY率和每10万人ASDR最高(分别为111.53;5.67)。在21个地理区域和204个国家中,2021年归因于LPA的CVD的年龄标准化DALY率和每10万人ASDR最高的均为北非和中东地区(分别为211.62;10.50),其中苏丹的比率最高(分别为616.58;24.56)。1990年至2021年期间,年龄标准化DALY率增幅最大的是东南亚地区(EAPC = 0.19),而ASDR增幅最大的是撒哈拉以南非洲南部地区(EAPC = 0.44)。莱索托的年龄标准化DALY率和ASDR增幅最大(分别为EAPC = 2.30;EAPC = 2.39)。尽管1990年至2021年期间归因于LPA的CVD的全球负担有所下降,但在低收入和中等收入国家,这一负担仍然很重。