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关键农业区域灌溉水质的预测建模与空间分析:基于人工神经网络的方法

Predictive Modeling and Spatial Analysis of Irrigation Water Quality in a Key Agricultural Region: An ANN-Based Approach.

作者信息

Goyal Deepali, Haritash A K, Singh S K

机构信息

Department of Environmental Engineering, Delhi Technological University, Delhi, India.

出版信息

Water Environ Res. 2025 Jul;97(7):e70147. doi: 10.1002/wer.70147.

Abstract

The quality of groundwater plays a critical role in ensuring effective irrigation, directly impacting crop productivity and soil health. This study was carried out to assess the suitability of groundwater in Ludhiana district of Punjab, India, for irrigation quality. Salinity hazard for the water was categorized by using EC values, which, for 62.5% of the samples out of 152, falls between 250 and 750 (μS/cm), that is, in the "medium" category. The remaining 57 samples are categorized as having a "high" salinity hazard. High values of salinity hazard can create a physiological drought condition for the crop. Sodium hazard was analyzed using %Na and SAR values. For %Na values, 114 samples fall in excellent to good category, whereas, for SAR analysis, 148 samples fall in low sodicity category. Also, all the samples fall in class I and II for PI value. However, overall quality of irrigation water has been determined by calculating Irrigation Water Quality Index that aggregates EC, SAR, Na, Cl, and HCO values. Based on this analysis, 21.7% of the samples fall in the "severe restriction" category whereas 57 samples, that is, 37.5% fall into the category of "high restriction." The remaining samples fall in moderate to low restriction. The maps depicting spatial distribution of contaminants and index values were prepared using IDW interpolation technique in QGIS. An optimized model for the study area was also created using ANN to estimate IWQI. The model was created using IBM SPSS software using multilayer perceptron feed forward mechanism. The calculated RMSE value of the proposed model is 0.09 and 0.07 for training and testing data, which suggests that the model's predictions are quite close to the actual values. This implies that the proposed model fits accurately and can be used for future IWQI prediction. This study advances SDG 6 by encouraging the responsible management of water resources. It also assists policy makers in developing sustainable irrigation strategies and provides researchers with important tools for predicting water quality.

摘要

地下水质量在确保有效灌溉方面起着关键作用,直接影响作物生产力和土壤健康。本研究旨在评估印度旁遮普邦卢迪亚纳地区的地下水用于灌溉的适宜性。通过使用电导率(EC)值对水的盐度危害进行分类,在152个样本中,62.5%的样本的EC值在250至750(μS/cm)之间,即属于“中等”类别。其余57个样本被归类为具有“高”盐度危害。高盐度危害值会给作物造成生理干旱状况。使用钠百分比(%Na)和钠吸附比(SAR)值分析钠危害。对于%Na值,114个样本属于优良类别,而对于SAR分析,148个样本属于低钠类别。此外,所有样本的渗透性指数(PI)值都属于I类和II类。然而,灌溉水的总体质量是通过计算综合了EC、SAR、Na、Cl和HCO值的灌溉水质指数来确定的。基于此分析,21.7%的样本属于“严重限制”类别,而57个样本,即37.5%属于“高限制”类别。其余样本属于中度至低限制类别。在QGIS中使用反距离加权(IDW)插值技术绘制了描述污染物空间分布和指数值的地图。还使用人工神经网络(ANN)创建了研究区域的优化模型来估计灌溉水质指数(IWQI)。该模型是使用IBM SPSS软件通过多层感知器前馈机制创建的。所提出模型的训练数据和测试数据的均方根误差(RMSE)计算值分别为0.09和0.07,这表明该模型的预测与实际值非常接近。这意味着所提出的模型拟合准确,可用于未来的IWQI预测。本研究通过鼓励对水资源进行负责任的管理推进了可持续发展目标6。它还协助政策制定者制定可持续灌溉策略,并为研究人员提供预测水质的重要工具。

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