Mohamed Abdirahman Saeed
School of Graduate Studies University of Hargeisa, Hargeisa, Somaliland.
PLoS One. 2025 Jul 28;20(7):e0329166. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0329166. eCollection 2025.
This study aims to examine the prevalence of early marriage among ever-married Somali women aged 20-49, assess differences across age groups and regions, and identify the main sociodemographic and contextual determinants. The study used the 2020 Somali Health and Demographic Survey dataset. The survey was a representative, three-stage cluster stratified sample, and the data were collected through personal interviews. Descriptive statistics and chi-square tests were used to examine prevalence and differences by background characteristics. Logistic regression modeled the probability of women marrying before 15 or 18 while adjusting for sociodemographic and contextual variables. Three logistic regression models were run; two of these models examined women aged 20-49 for the probability of marrying below age 15 or age 18, while one considered women aged 20-29 in assessing the probability of marriage before age 18. Of the respondents, 24.3% (95% CI: 22.6-26.1) married before 15, while the overall estimated prevalence of marriage before 18 was 41.7% (95% CI: 39.3-44.2). The odds of getting married before 15 (AOR = 1.51, 95% CI: 1.16-1.99, p = 0.002) and 18 (AOR = 2.08, 95% CI: 1.68-2.58, p < 0.001) were higher for the younger age group, 20-29. Women from Somaliland showed lower odds for marrying before age 15 (AOR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.41-0.62, p < 0.001) and below age 18 (AOR = 0.56, 95% CI: 0.46-0.66, p < 0.001). Women from lower socioeconomic status showed higher probabilities of early marriage. In the models for women aged 20-49, education had no significant effect. Only among women aged 20-29, education was unexpectedly linked to early marriage, and there were no differences by living in an urban or rural area. Odds ratios were higher for those who accepted domestic violence and lower for those who ever used the internet and participated in household decision-making.
本研究旨在调查20至49岁曾婚索马里女性早婚的流行情况,评估不同年龄组和地区之间的差异,并确定主要的社会人口和环境决定因素。该研究使用了2020年索马里健康与人口调查数据集。该调查是一个具有代表性的三阶段整群分层样本,数据通过个人访谈收集。描述性统计和卡方检验用于按背景特征检查流行情况和差异。逻辑回归模型在调整社会人口和环境变量的同时,对女性在15岁或18岁之前结婚的概率进行建模。运行了三个逻辑回归模型;其中两个模型研究20至49岁女性在15岁或18岁以下结婚的概率,而另一个模型在评估18岁之前结婚的概率时考虑20至29岁的女性。在受访者中,24.3%(95%置信区间:22.6 - 26.1)在15岁之前结婚,而18岁之前结婚的总体估计流行率为41.7%(95%置信区间:39.3 - 44.2)。20至29岁的年轻年龄组在15岁(优势比=1.51,95%置信区间:1.16 - 1.99,p = 0.002)和18岁(优势比=2.08,95%置信区间:1.68 - 2.58,p < 0.001)之前结婚的几率更高。来自索马里兰的女性在15岁(优势比=0.50,95%置信区间:0.41 - 0.62,p < 0.001)和18岁以下(优势比=0.56,95%置信区间:0.46 - 0.66,p < 0.001)结婚的几率较低。社会经济地位较低的女性早婚的可能性更高。在20至49岁女性的模型中,教育没有显著影响。仅在20至2