Li Meichen, Liu Min, Liu Jue
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.
Key Laboratory of Epidemiology of Major Diseases (Peking University), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100191, China.
Viruses. 2025 Jun 25;17(7):892. doi: 10.3390/v17070892.
Lower respiratory infections (LRIs) persist as a major global health threat. This study analyses the 1991-2021 trends in LRI mortality, deaths, and aetiologies across 204 countries using Global Burden of Disease 2021 data, aiming to evaluate the disease burden of LRIs and provide evidence-based guidance for prevention strategies. To quantify the temporal trends, the annual percentage change was estimated (EAPC) using linear regression modeling. Globally, the ASMR for LRI decreased by an average of 2.29% annually (95% CI: 2.16-2.42%). While ASMR decreased in 20 of the GBD regions, mortality rates in Southern Latin America increased (EAPC = 1.32, 95% CI: 0.98-1.67). The LRI burden remains the heaviest in low SDI regions and sub-Saharan Africa. LRIs continue to cause high mortality in children and the elderly. Mortality in children decreased rapidly, while mortality in the elderly declined more slowly. was the leading cause of LRI-related deaths, followed by and . LRIs remain a leading cause of global mortality, especially in low SDI regions, and among children and the elderly. Future research on LRIs and the development of effective prevention and control strategies are essential to reduce the disease burden of LRIs.
下呼吸道感染(LRIs)仍然是全球主要的健康威胁。本研究利用《2021年全球疾病负担》数据,分析了204个国家1991 - 2021年期间下呼吸道感染的死亡率、死亡人数和病因趋势,旨在评估下呼吸道感染的疾病负担,并为预防策略提供循证指导。为了量化时间趋势,使用线性回归模型估计年度百分比变化(EAPC)。在全球范围内,下呼吸道感染的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)平均每年下降2.29%(95%置信区间:2.16 - 2.42%)。虽然20个全球疾病负担(GBD)区域的ASMR有所下降,但拉丁美洲南部的死亡率上升(EAPC = 1.32,95%置信区间:0.98 - 1.67)。下呼吸道感染负担在低社会人口指数(SDI)地区和撒哈拉以南非洲仍然最重。下呼吸道感染继续导致儿童和老年人的高死亡率。儿童死亡率迅速下降,而老年人死亡率下降较慢。[此处原文缺失具体病因信息]是下呼吸道感染相关死亡的主要原因,其次是[此处原文缺失具体病因信息]和[此处原文缺失具体病因信息]。下呼吸道感染仍然是全球死亡的主要原因,特别是在低SDI地区以及儿童和老年人中。未来关于下呼吸道感染的研究以及制定有效的预防和控制策略对于减轻下呼吸道感染的疾病负担至关重要。