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在美国3个城市的微观地理位置上研究街道植被与儿童枪支暴力之间的关联:一项病例对照研究。

Examining associations between street vegetation and child firearm violence at microgeographic locations in 3 US cities: a case-control study.

作者信息

Lin Zihan, Wellenius Gregory A, Jay Jonathan

机构信息

Department of Biological, Geological, and Environmental Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Cleveland State University, Cleveland, OH, USA.

Maxine Goodman School of Urban Affairs, Cleveland State University, Cleveland, OH, USA.

出版信息

BMC Pediatr. 2025 Aug 7;25(1):605. doi: 10.1186/s12887-025-05971-4.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Firearm violence is a leading cause of death among U.S. children under age 18. Urban vegetation, a vital component of the living environment, has been found to influence firearm violence, yet the relationship between different types of street vegetation and firearm violence with children as the victim at the microgeographic scale remains unclear.

METHODS

We analyzed 2316 child firearm assault incidents from Los Angeles, New York City, and Philadelphia from 2015 to 2021. Using a spatial case-control approach, we matched assault locations with control locations within 1-km. For each location, we applied deep learning algorithms to Google Street View images to classify street vegetation into tall (mainly tree) and short (mainly grass and shrubs). We employed conditional logistic regression models to examine the associations between visible amount of different street vegetation types and child firearm incidents, while controlling for sociodemographic and socioeconomic factors.

RESULTS

We found that the associations between the amount of different street vegetation and firearm violence with children as the victim varied across cities. Short street vegetation was associated with reduced child firearm assault risk in both Los Angeles (OR = 0.62, 95% CI [0.59, 0.76]) and New York City (OR = 0.82, 95% CI [0.70, 0.94]). Tall street vegetation was associated with reduced risk only in Los Angeles (OR = 0.67, 95% CI [0.59, 0.77]). No associations were identified between any street vegetation and child firearm assaults in Philadelphia.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings highlight the relationship between street vegetation and firearm violence with children at a microgeographic scale. The impact of street greenery varies by city and vegetation type. The findings of this study would serve as a scientific reference for designing interventions to reduce firearm assaults in urban areas.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12887-025-05971-4.

摘要

背景

枪支暴力是美国18岁以下儿童死亡的主要原因。城市植被作为生活环境的重要组成部分,已被发现会影响枪支暴力,但在微观地理尺度上,不同类型的街道植被与以儿童为受害者的枪支暴力之间的关系仍不明确。

方法

我们分析了2015年至2021年来自洛杉矶、纽约市和费城的2316起儿童枪支袭击事件。采用空间病例对照方法,我们将袭击地点与1公里范围内的对照地点进行匹配。对于每个地点,我们应用深度学习算法对谷歌街景图像进行分析,将街道植被分为高大植被(主要是树木)和矮小植被(主要是草和灌木)。我们使用条件逻辑回归模型来检验不同街道植被类型的可见量与儿童枪支事件之间的关联,同时控制社会人口统计学和社会经济因素。

结果

我们发现,不同街道植被数量与以儿童为受害者的枪支暴力之间的关联在不同城市有所不同。矮小街道植被与洛杉矶(比值比[OR]=0.62,95%置信区间[CI][0.59,0.76])和纽约市(OR=0.82,95%CI[0.70,0.94])的儿童枪支袭击风险降低相关。高大街道植被仅与洛杉矶的风险降低相关(OR=0.67,95%CI[0.59,0.77])。在费城,未发现任何街道植被与儿童枪支袭击之间存在关联。

结论

我们的研究结果突出了微观地理尺度上街道植被与以儿童为受害者的枪支暴力之间的关系。街道绿化的影响因城市和植被类型而异。本研究结果将为设计减少城市地区枪支袭击的干预措施提供科学参考。

补充信息

在线版本包含可在10.1186/s12887-025-05971-4获取的补充材料。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4a45/12330152/df24ce191727/12887_2025_5971_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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