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注意缺陷多动障碍药物治疗与自杀行为、药物滥用、意外伤害、交通事故及犯罪风险:目标试验的模拟

ADHD drug treatment and risk of suicidal behaviours, substance misuse, accidental injuries, transport accidents, and criminality: emulation of target trials.

作者信息

Zhang Le, Zhu Nanbo, Sjölander Arvid, Nourredine Mikail, Li Lin, Garcia-Argibay Miguel, Kuja-Halkola Ralf, Brikell Isabell, Lichtenstein Paul, D'Onofrio Brian M, Larsson Henrik, Cortese Samuele, Chang Zheng

机构信息

Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Division of Clinical Geriatrics, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

BMJ. 2025 Aug 13;390:e083658. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2024-083658.

DOI:10.1136/bmj-2024-083658
PMID:40803836
原文链接:
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12344785/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To examine the effects of drug treatment for attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) on suicidal behaviours, substance misuse, accidental injuries, transport accidents, and criminality.

DESIGN

Emulation of target trials.

SETTING

Linkage of national registers in Sweden, 2007-20.

PARTICIPANTS

People aged 6-64 years with a new diagnosis of ADHD, who either started or did not start drug treatment for ADHD within three months of diagnosis.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

First and recurrent events of five outcomes over two years after ADHD diagnosis: suicidal behaviours, substance misuse, accidental injuries, transport accidents, and criminality.

RESULTS

Of 148 581 individuals with ADHD (median age 17.4 years; 41.3% female), 84 282 (56.7%) started drug treatment for ADHD, with methylphenidate being the most commonly prescribed at initiation (74 515; 88.4%). Drug treatment for ADHD was associated with reduced rates of the first occurrence of suicidal behaviours (weighted incidence rates 14.5 per 1000 person years in the initiation group versus 16.9 in the non-initiation group; adjusted incidence rate ratio 0.83, 95% confidence interval 0.78 to 0.88), substance misuse (58.7 69.1 per 1000 person years; 0.85, 0.83 to 0.87), transport accidents (24.0 27.5 per 1000 person years; 0.88, 0.82 to 0.94), and criminality (65.1 76.1 per 1000 person years; 0.87, 0.83 to 0.90), whereas the reduction was not statistically significant for accidental injuries (88.5 90.1 per 1000 person years; incidence rate ratio 0.98, 0.96 to 1.01). The reduced rates were more pronounced among individuals with previous events, with incidence rate ratios ranging from 0.79 (0.72 to 0.86) for suicidal behaviours to 0.97 (0.93 to 1.00) for accidental injuries. For recurrent events, drug treatment for ADHD was significantly associated with reduced rates of all five outcomes, with incidence rate ratios of 0.85 (0.77 to 0.93) for suicidal behaviours, 0.75 (0.72 to 0.78) for substance misuse, 0.96 (0.92 to 0.99) for accidental injuries, 0.84 (0.76 to 0.91) for transport accidents, and 0.75 (0.71 to 0.79) for criminality.

CONCLUSIONS

Drug treatment for ADHD was associated with beneficial effects in reducing the risks of suicidal behaviours, substance misuse, transport accidents, and criminality but not accidental injuries when considering first event rate. The risk reductions were more pronounced for recurrent events, with reduced rates for all five outcomes. This target trial emulation study using national register data provides evidence that is representative of patients in routine clinical settings.

摘要

目的

研究注意力缺陷多动障碍(ADHD)药物治疗对自杀行为、药物滥用、意外伤害、交通事故和犯罪行为的影响。

设计

模拟目标试验。

背景

瑞典国家登记处2007年至2020年的数据链接。

参与者

年龄在6至64岁之间,新诊断为ADHD的患者,在诊断后三个月内开始或未开始ADHD药物治疗。

主要结局指标

ADHD诊断后两年内五种结局的首次和复发事件:自杀行为、药物滥用、意外伤害、交通事故和犯罪行为。

结果

在148581名ADHD患者中(中位年龄17.4岁;41.3%为女性),84282名(56.7%)开始了ADHD药物治疗,其中哌甲酯是开始治疗时最常用的药物(74515名;88.4%)。ADHD药物治疗与首次出现自杀行为的发生率降低相关(开始治疗组的加权发病率为每1000人年14.5例,未开始治疗组为16.9例;调整后的发病率比为0.83,95%置信区间为0.78至0.88)、药物滥用(每1000人年58.7对69.1例;0.85,0.83至0.87)、交通事故(每1000人年24.0对27.5例;0.88,0.82至0.94)和犯罪行为(每1000人年65.1对76.1例;0.87,0.83至0.90),而意外伤害的降低无统计学意义(每1000人年88.5对90.1例;发病率比为0.98,0.96至1.01)。在有既往事件的个体中,降低的发生率更为明显,自杀行为的发病率比为0.79(0.72至0.

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/b6c0be891775/zhle083658.f6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/61d985523775/zhle083658.f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/30a79b6dccad/zhle083658.f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/43a087079de5/zhle083658.f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/2ed0082d78d8/zhle083658.f4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/4c4d569d0312/zhle083658.f5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/b6c0be891775/zhle083658.f6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/61d985523775/zhle083658.f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/30a79b6dccad/zhle083658.f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/43a087079de5/zhle083658.f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/2ed0082d78d8/zhle083658.f4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/4c4d569d0312/zhle083658.f5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3bbd/12344785/b6c0be891775/zhle083658.f6.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Diagnostic accuracy in the Swedish national patient register: a review including diagnoses in the outpatient register.瑞典国家患者登记处的诊断准确性:一项包括门诊登记处诊断的综述。
Eur J Epidemiol. 2025 Mar 27. doi: 10.1007/s10654-025-01221-0.
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Evaluating ADHD medication trial representativeness: a Swedish population-based study comparing hypothetically trial-eligible and trial-ineligible individuals.评估注意力缺陷多动障碍药物试验的代表性:一项基于瑞典人群的研究,比较假设符合试验条件和不符合试验条件的个体。
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慢性使用兴奋剂和非兴奋剂药物对 ADHD 患者执行功能的影响:系统评价和荟萃分析。
Neurosci Biobehav Rev. 2024 Jul;162:105703. doi: 10.1016/j.neubiorev.2024.105703. Epub 2024 May 6.
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Criminal convictions in males and females diagnosed with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder: A Swedish national registry study.被诊断患有注意力缺陷多动障碍的男性和女性的刑事定罪情况:一项瑞典全国性登记研究。
JCPP Adv. 2024 Jan 20;4(1):e12217. doi: 10.1002/jcv2.12217. eCollection 2024 Mar.
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ADHD Pharmacotherapy and Mortality in Individuals With ADHD.注意缺陷多动障碍的药物治疗与患有注意缺陷多动障碍个体的死亡率
JAMA. 2024 Mar 12;331(10):850-860. doi: 10.1001/jama.2024.0851.
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Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder.注意缺陷多动障碍。
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Effects of ADHD and ADHD treatment on glycemic management in type 1 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.ADHD 及其治疗对 1 型糖尿病患者血糖管理的影响:一项观察性研究的系统评价和荟萃分析。
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ADHD medication discontinuation and persistence across the lifespan: a retrospective observational study using population-based databases.ADHD 药物停药和终身维持情况:一项基于人群数据库的回顾性观察研究。
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WHO Model Lists of Essential Medicines: methylphenidate for ADHD in children and adolescents.世界卫生组织基本药物示范清单:用于儿童和青少年注意力缺陷多动障碍的哌甲酯。
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Incidence, prevalence, and global burden of ADHD from 1990 to 2019 across 204 countries: data, with critical re-analysis, from the Global Burden of Disease study.1990 年至 2019 年期间,全球 204 个国家的 ADHD 发病率、患病率和疾病负担:来自全球疾病负担研究的具有关键重新分析的数据。
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