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游戏化教育中的预测分析:一种识别高危学生的混合模型。

Predictive analytics in gamified education: A hybrid model for identifying at-risk students.

作者信息

Sawarkar Devanshu, Pinjarkar Latika, Agrawal Pratham, Motghare Devansh

机构信息

Symbiosis Institute of Technology, Nagpur Campus, Symbiosis International (Deemed University) Pune, India.

出版信息

MethodsX. 2025 Jul 3;15:103486. doi: 10.1016/j.mex.2025.103486. eCollection 2025 Dec.

DOI:10.1016/j.mex.2025.103486
PMID:40852037
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12369421/
Abstract

This research proposes a hybrid predictive model designed to identify at-risk students within a gamified education environment accurately. By integrating logistic regression, decision trees, and random forests, we construct a robust ensemble model that leverages the strengths of each algorithm for precise risk assessment. The model analyzes key indicators such as academic performance, participation levels, and task completion rates using data derived from a gamified learning platform. Our approach demonstrates the effectiveness of machine learning in addressing challenges like student disengagement and dropout. The hybrid model outperforms individual classifiers, enabling earlier and more reliable detection of students who may require timely academic interventions. The method is as follows:•Combines logistic regression, decision trees, and random forests•Utilizes gamified education data for at-risk student prediction•Provides educators with a tool for early intervention in student supportThe computational approach converts raw educational data into actionable insights, enabling educators to deliver timely and targeted interventions. Leveraging behavioral data from game-based learning platforms, the project develops a practical student monitoring system powered by machine learning ensembles. This system identifies at-risk students earlier than traditional assessments, allowing for more effective and efficient use of educational resources.

摘要

本研究提出了一种混合预测模型,旨在在游戏化教育环境中准确识别有风险的学生。通过整合逻辑回归、决策树和随机森林,我们构建了一个强大的集成模型,该模型利用每种算法的优势进行精确的风险评估。该模型使用从游戏化学习平台获取的数据,分析学业成绩、参与度和任务完成率等关键指标。我们的方法证明了机器学习在应对学生参与度低和辍学等挑战方面的有效性。混合模型优于单个分类器,能够更早、更可靠地检测出可能需要及时学业干预的学生。方法如下:

• 结合逻辑回归、决策树和随机森林

• 利用游戏化教育数据预测有风险的学生

• 为教育工作者提供早期干预学生支持的工具

计算方法将原始教育数据转化为可操作的见解,使教育工作者能够提供及时且有针对性的干预。该项目利用基于游戏的学习平台的行为数据,开发了一个由机器学习集成驱动的实用学生监测系统。该系统比传统评估更早地识别出有风险的学生,从而更有效、高效地利用教育资源。

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本文引用的文献

1
Decision tree methods: applications for classification and prediction.决策树方法:分类与预测应用
Shanghai Arch Psychiatry. 2015 Apr 25;27(2):130-5. doi: 10.11919/j.issn.1002-0829.215044.
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Prediction of university students' academic achievement by linear and logistic models.通过线性模型和逻辑模型预测大学生的学业成绩。
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Logistic regression.逻辑回归
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