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Disparity between statistical significance and clinical importance in published randomised controlled trials: a methodological study.

作者信息

Esterhuizen Tonya Marianne, Mbuagbaw Lawrence, Rehman Nadia, Yanwou Nathan, Swaby Devron J, Kittle Esme, Licht Johann-Christoph, Thabane Lehana

机构信息

Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa

Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, Western Cape, South Africa.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2025 Aug 25;15(8):e100411. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2025-100411.


DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2025-100411
PMID:40854849
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12414192/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES: We estimated the extent of the disparity between statistical significance and clinical importance in published randomised controlled trials (RCTs), and explored factors associated with this disparity. DESIGN: A methodological study of trials published between 2018 and 2022 and indexed in PubMed was conducted. Primary reports of two-arm, phase three, superiority trials of human health interventions were included. Pharmacokinetic studies and pilot trials were excluded. The relationship between the specified delta value or minimum clinically important difference (as specified in the sample size calculation) and the effect size determined the clinical importance of the trial results. Studies where the clinical importance was at least possible, with no statistical significance, were classified as SS-CI+ disparity, and studies which were definitely not clinically important but statistically significant were classified as SS+CI- disparity. Factors associated with each type of disparity were explored at the study level using multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: 500 trials were included. In 38.4% (n=192) of these, information was not available to classify clinical importance. Overall disparity was found in 63 of the remaining 308 studies, 20.5% (95% confidence interval (CI) 16.2% to 25.5%). SS+CI- disparity was 10.3% (15/145) (95% CI 6.1% to 16.8%) and SS-CI+ disparity was 29.5% (48/163) (95% CI 22.7% to 37.2%).Studies testing complementary or alternative medicines relative to drug trials were positively associated with SS+CI- disparity. Low journal impact factor, small sample size, unfunded or grant funding and failure to mention allocation concealment were positively associated with SS-CI+disparity. CONCLUSIONS: In up to 20% of RCTs, there may be a disparity between statistical significance and clinical importance. Clinical importance of results should be taken into account in the interpretation of trial results, and trials should adhere stringently to reporting guidelines.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/606b/12414192/c37b479503bc/bmjopen-15-8-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/606b/12414192/4d2f839e2a0f/bmjopen-15-8-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/606b/12414192/c37b479503bc/bmjopen-15-8-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/606b/12414192/4d2f839e2a0f/bmjopen-15-8-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/606b/12414192/c37b479503bc/bmjopen-15-8-g002.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Disparity between statistical significance and clinical importance in published randomised controlled trials: a methodological study.

BMJ Open. 2025-8-25

本文引用的文献

[1]
Disparity between statistical and clinical significance in published randomised controlled trials indexed in PubMed: a protocol for a cross-sectional methodological survey.

BMJ Open. 2024-7-25

[2]
Reporting of PPI and the MCID in phase III/IV randomised controlled trials-a systematic review.

Trials. 2023-5-31

[3]
Guidelines for Reporting Outcomes in Trial Reports: The CONSORT-Outcomes 2022 Extension.

JAMA. 2022-12-13

[4]
[Integration of clinical significance and statistical significance on clinical study results categorization: a Meta-epidemiology study].

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2021-7-10

[5]
Evaluation of reporting quality of randomized controlled trials in patients with COVID-19 using the CONSORT statement.

PLoS One. 2021

[6]
Minimal important change (MIC): a conceptual clarification and systematic review of MIC estimates of PROMIS measures.

Qual Life Res. 2021-10

[7]
Shifting the focus away from binary thinking of statistical significance and towards education for key stakeholders: revisiting the debate on whether it's time to de-emphasize or get rid of statistical significance.

J Clin Epidemiol. 2021-9

[8]
The PRISMA 2020 statement: An updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews.

J Clin Epidemiol. 2021-6

[9]
Monitoring in clinical trials of complementary and alternative medicine.

Integr Med Res. 2021-6

[10]
Fragility of clinical trials across research fields: A synthesis of methodological reviews.

Contemp Clin Trials. 2020-10

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