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医院联盟中医疗资源短缺的计算建模与分析:一种模拟驱动方法

Computational modeling and analysis of medical resource shortages in hospital alliance: A simulation-driven approach.

作者信息

Gan Zhenkun, Fu Zhengtang, Dong Peiwu, Ju Yanbing, Shen Yajun

机构信息

School of Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.

School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Aug 26;20(8):e0330871. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0330871. eCollection 2025.


DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0330871
PMID:40857292
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12380337/
Abstract

Hospital alliances, as an innovative model of hospital management, are dedicated to achieving resource sharing across the entire healthcare network. During the COVID-19 pandemic in China, these alliances played a pivotal role in combating the outbreak. However, a significant challenge emerged: the difficulty in accurately quantifying medical resource shortages at individual hospitals hindered the efficient allocation of these critical resources. To address this issue, this study proposes an integrated urgent medical resource evaluation model designed to scientifically assess the urgency of medical resource needs within the alliance. Methodologically, the model innovatively combines the SEIR system dynamics model, complex network analysis, and entropy-weighted TOPSIS to construct a multi-dimensional evaluation framework. A case study has been conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. Contrary to conventional expectations, the findings reveal that small-scale hospitals exhibit higher medical resource urgency compared to their large-scale counterparts within the alliance. Based on these results, we recommend that policymakers prioritize addressing medical resource shortages in small-scale hospitals during pandemics.

摘要

医院联盟作为一种创新的医院管理模式,致力于在整个医疗网络中实现资源共享。在中国新冠疫情期间,这些联盟在抗击疫情中发挥了关键作用。然而,出现了一个重大挑战:难以准确量化各医院的医疗资源短缺情况,这阻碍了这些关键资源的有效分配。为解决这一问题,本研究提出了一种综合紧急医疗资源评估模型,旨在科学评估联盟内医疗资源需求的紧迫性。在方法上,该模型创新性地将SEIR系统动力学模型、复杂网络分析和熵权TOPSIS相结合,构建了一个多维评估框架。已进行案例研究以验证所提方法的有效性。与传统预期相反,研究结果表明,在联盟中,小型医院的医疗资源紧迫性高于大型医院。基于这些结果,我们建议政策制定者在疫情期间优先解决小型医院的医疗资源短缺问题。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/8c721f4b0eca/pone.0330871.g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/4ba71d520c24/pone.0330871.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/0b2fca0f0370/pone.0330871.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/0e2f37a09cb6/pone.0330871.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/d215c0fba725/pone.0330871.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/a4b56477487e/pone.0330871.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/8c721f4b0eca/pone.0330871.g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/4ba71d520c24/pone.0330871.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/0b2fca0f0370/pone.0330871.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/0e2f37a09cb6/pone.0330871.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/d215c0fba725/pone.0330871.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/a4b56477487e/pone.0330871.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6cc2/12380337/8c721f4b0eca/pone.0330871.g006.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
The social aspect of water resources management in the Lake Chad Basin: A new construct for water resources management.

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[2]
Differential impact of hospital and community factors on breadth and depth of hospital population health partnerships.

Health Serv Res. 2024-2

[3]
The Ethics of Implementing Emergency Resource Allocation Protocols.

J Clin Ethics. 2023

[4]
Can supply chain risk management practices mitigate the disruption impacts on supply chains' resilience and robustness? Evidence from an empirical survey in a COVID-19 outbreak era.

Int J Prod Econ. 2021-3

[5]
Multiobjective problem modeling of the capacitated vehicle routing problem with urgency in a pandemic period.

Neural Comput Appl. 2023

[6]
Evaluation of a new emergency department avoidance model of care, the Cancer Urgent Assessment Clinic, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Emerg Cancer Care. 2022

[7]
An Advanced Study of Urban Emergency Medical Equipment Logistics Distribution for Different Levels of Urgency Demand.

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022-9-7

[8]
The Roadmap for Implementing Value-Based Healthcare in European University Hospitals-Consensus Report and Recommendations.

Value Health. 2022-7

[9]
WHO International Standard for evaluation of the antibody response to COVID-19 vaccines: call for urgent action by the scientific community.

Lancet Microbe. 2022-3

[10]
Artificial Intelligence Identifies an Urgent Need for Peripheral Vascular Intervention by Multiplexing Standard Clinical Parameters.

Biomedicines. 2021-10-13

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