Li Tianyu, Chen Shouhang, Shen Yuanfang, Li Zhi, Han Shujuan, Yuan Yan, Zhang Yaodong, Feng Demin, Jin Zhipeng, Jin Yuefei, Wang Fang
Department of Infectious Diseases, Henan Children's Hospital, Children's Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou Children's Hospital, Zhengzhou, 450018, Henan Province, China.
College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan Province, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Sep 2;15(1):32347. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-14685-7.
Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains one of the most prevalent infectious diseases affecting children worldwide. Despite its global significance, we still lack comprehensive epidemiological data and pathogen profiles specifically for Pediatric CAP cases in Henan Province, China. We analyzed clinical data from children with CAP admitted to Children's Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University and Zhengzhou University's Third Affiliated Hospital between 2015 and 2023. Using time-series analysis, we projected CAP prevalence trends for 2024. There existed notable seasonal and regional disparities in the incidence of pediatric CAP cases in Henan Province. The incidence peak of pediatric CAP cases occurred from May to August. Moreover, school-aged and preschool children were at a higher risk of contracting CAP. Among pediatric CAP cases, the disease spectrum varied according to age. Mycoplasma pneumonia (MP) was the main pathogen, presenting in diverse infection patterns and multiple mixed infection combinations. The time series prediction model based on ARIMA suggested that the incidence of pediatric CAP would decrease in 2024. Collectively, the incidence of CAP in children in Henan Province shows a seasonal upward trend. The primary cause of infection is identified as MP, and it is often combined with various bacteria and viruses in different age groups.
社区获得性肺炎(CAP)仍然是影响全球儿童的最常见传染病之一。尽管其具有全球重要性,但我们仍然缺乏专门针对中国河南省儿童CAP病例的全面流行病学数据和病原体概况。我们分析了2015年至2023年期间在郑州大学附属儿童医院和郑州大学第三附属医院住院的CAP儿童的临床数据。使用时间序列分析,我们预测了2024年CAP的流行趋势。河南省儿童CAP病例的发病率存在显著的季节性和地区差异。儿童CAP病例的发病高峰出现在5月至8月。此外,学龄儿童和学龄前儿童感染CAP的风险更高。在儿童CAP病例中,疾病谱因年龄而异。支原体肺炎(MP)是主要病原体,呈现出多种感染模式和多种混合感染组合。基于ARIMA的时间序列预测模型表明,2024年儿童CAP的发病率将下降。总体而言,河南省儿童CAP的发病率呈季节性上升趋势。感染的主要原因被确定为MP,并且在不同年龄组中它经常与各种细菌和病毒合并感染。