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基于机器学习的内镜黏膜切除术后大肠息肉复发预测模型的见解

Insights into a machine learning-based prediction model for colorectal polyp recurrence after endoscopic mucosal resection.

作者信息

Li Guang-Yao, Zhai Lu-Lu

机构信息

Department of General Surgery, The Second People's Hospital of Wuhu, Wuhu 241000, Anhui Province, China.

Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230001, Anhui Province, China.

出版信息

World J Gastroenterol. 2025 Aug 21;31(31):109389. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v31.i31.109389.

Abstract

In 2025, Shi constructed a model utilizing machine learning techniques to predict the one-year recurrence of colorectal polyps following endoscopic mucosal resection, showing excellent discriminatory performance with an area under the curve exceeding 0.90. However, limitations exist regarding its narrow temporal scope, potential overestimation due to feature collinearity and imputation opacity, and limited generalizability due to single-center derivation and validation. Moreover, no clear clinical implementation strategy was outlined. Prospective multicenter validation and integration of endoscopist variability, longitudinal outcome data, and deployment mechanisms are warranted to ensure broader applicability and clinical utility.

摘要

2025年,施构建了一个利用机器学习技术预测内镜黏膜切除术后大肠息肉一年复发情况的模型,其曲线下面积超过0.90,显示出优异的鉴别性能。然而,该模型存在局限性,包括时间范围狭窄、因特征共线性和插补不透明性可能导致高估,以及因单中心推导和验证导致的可推广性有限。此外,未概述明确的临床实施策略。有必要进行前瞻性多中心验证,并整合内镜医师变异性、纵向结局数据和部署机制,以确保更广泛的适用性和临床实用性。

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Treatment of adenoma recurrence after endoscopic mucosal resection.内镜黏膜切除术后腺瘤复发的治疗。
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