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污染企业会导致癌症吗?——来自中国肿瘤登记数据的实证证据

Do polluting enterprises contribute to cancer?-Empirical evidence from tumor registry data in China.

作者信息

Liu Jiwen, Lin Bingquan

机构信息

Department of Economics and Management, Jiangsu College of Administration, Nanjing, China.

School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2025 Aug 25;13:1615439. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1615439. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

This study utilizes data from the China Cancer Registry Annual Report and the "Qichacha" database to construct a time-region regression model based on panel data, aiming to explore the impact of polluting enterprises on regional cancer incidence rates between 2000 and 2008. The empirical analysis reveals that polluting enterprises significantly increase cancer incidence rates among both male and female populations, with a particularly marked effect on lung cancer. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the effect is most pronounced in the eastern and coastal regions, followed by the central and northeastern areas, with minimal impact in the western and inland regions. There may be a threshold effect in the influence of polluting enterprises on cancer incidence. Additionally, local government environmental regulations can mitigate the negative health impacts of industrial pollution. Mechanism analysis indicates that polluting enterprises influence regional public health through environmental pollution, while also highlighting potential disparities in urban-rural medical compensation. The findings provide empirical support and mechanism validation for understanding the impact of polluting enterprises on public health, offering valuable insights for the "Healthy China" strategy and environmental governance policies.

摘要

本研究利用中国癌症登记年报数据和“企查查”数据库,构建基于面板数据的时间-区域回归模型,旨在探讨2000年至2008年期间污染企业对区域癌症发病率的影响。实证分析表明,污染企业显著提高了男性和女性人群的癌症发病率,对肺癌的影响尤为明显。异质性分析表明,这种影响在东部和沿海地区最为显著,其次是中部和东北地区,在西部和内陆地区影响最小。污染企业对癌症发病率的影响可能存在阈值效应。此外,地方政府的环境法规可以减轻工业污染对健康的负面影响。机制分析表明,污染企业通过环境污染影响区域公共卫生,同时也凸显了城乡医疗补偿方面的潜在差异。研究结果为理解污染企业对公众健康的影响提供了实证支持和机制验证,为“健康中国”战略和环境治理政策提供了有价值的见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4057/12414753/4d3ac2fd9beb/fpubh-13-1615439-g0001.jpg

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