Şahin Hatice, Ulusal Okyay Gülay, Ayerden Ebinç Fatma, Sökmen Fevzi Coşkun, Yaşar Emre, Akçay Gülşen, Ayli Mehmet Deniz
Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Etlik City Hospital, Ankara, Turkiye.
Department of Internal Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Gülhane Training and Research Hospital, Ankara, Turkiye.
Turk J Med Sci. 2025 Jul 26;55(4):971-981. doi: 10.55730/1300-0144.6050. eCollection 2025.
BACKGROUND/AIM: Acute methanol poisoning (MP) poses a significant public health challenge, with inflammation increasingly recognized as a key factor in its pathophysiology. Identifying accessible and reliable prognostic biomarkers could help enhance clinical outcomes. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and the pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV), measured upon emergency department admission, in predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with acute MP.
This retrospective study included patients diagnosed with acute MP at two tertiary care centers in Ankara, Türkiye: University of Health Sciences Dışkapı Yıldırım Beyazıt Education and Research Hospital (1 January 2015 to 1 October 2022) and Etlik City Hospital (1 October 2022 to 11 March 2025). Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data, along with treatment details and outcomes (discharge or inhospital death), were systematically recorded.
A total of 76 patients were included, of whom 92.1% were male, with a mean age of 49.0 ± 12.4 years. During hospitalization, 48.6% (n = 37) died. Both SII and PIV values at admission were significantly higher in nonsurvivors (p < 0.001 for SII; p = 0.031 for PIV). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, higher SII (HR: 2.44; 95% CI: 1.05-5.67; p = 0.034) and PIV (HR: 2.08; 95% CI: 1.05-4.13; p = 0.030) were independently associated with increased risk of mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis showed an AUC of 0.750 (95% CI: 0.649-0.865) for SII, with an optimal cutoff of 665.6 (sensitivity: 50%; specificity: 46%), and an AUC of 0.640 (95% CI: 0.519-0.769) for PIV, with an optimal cutoff of 512.5 (sensitivity: 53%; specificity: 47%).
SII and PIV measured at hospital admission may have potential prognostic value in predicting inhospital mortality in patients with acute MP.
背景/目的:急性甲醇中毒(MP)对公共卫生构成重大挑战,炎症在其病理生理学中的关键作用日益受到认可。识别可及且可靠的预后生物标志物有助于改善临床结局。本研究旨在评估急诊入院时测量的全身免疫炎症指数(SII)和全免疫炎症值(PIV)对急性MP患者院内死亡率的预测价值。
本回顾性研究纳入了土耳其安卡拉两家三级医疗中心诊断为急性MP的患者:健康科学大学迪什卡皮·耶尔德勒姆·贝亚齐特教育与研究医院(2015年1月1日至2022年10月1日)和埃特利克市立医院(2022年10月1日至2025年3月11日)。系统记录了人口统计学、临床和实验室数据,以及治疗细节和结局(出院或院内死亡)。
共纳入76例患者,其中92.1%为男性,平均年龄为49.0±12.4岁。住院期间,48.6%(n = 37)死亡。非幸存者入院时的SII和PIV值均显著更高(SII,p < 0.001;PIV,p = 0.031)。在多因素Cox回归分析中,较高的SII(HR:2.44;95%CI:1.05 - 5.67;p = 0.034)和PIV(HR:2.08;95%CI:1.05 - 4.13;p = 0.030)与死亡风险增加独立相关。受试者工作特征(ROC)分析显示,SII的AUC为0.750(95%CI:0.649 - 0.865),最佳截断值为665.6(敏感性:50%;特异性:46%),PIV的AUC为0.640(95%CI:0.519 - 0.769),最佳截断值为512.5(敏感性:53%;特异性:47%)。
入院时测量的SII和PIV在预测急性MP患者院内死亡率方面可能具有潜在的预后价值。