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1985年至2019年中国7至18岁儿童和青少年肥胖与高血压并发的趋势及不平等状况以及至2030年的预测

Trends and Inequalities of Co-Occurring Obesity and Elevated Blood Pressure Among Chinese Children and Adolescents Aged 7-18 Years from 1985 to 2019 and Projections to 2030.

作者信息

Huang Tianyu, Dang Jiajia, Li Jiaxin, Cai Shan, Liu Yunfei, Chen Ziyue, Zhang Yihang, Yang Ruolan, Hu Peijin, Ma Jun, Song Yi

机构信息

Institute of Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China.

出版信息

Nutrients. 2025 Aug 30;17(17):2828. doi: 10.3390/nu17172828.

DOI:10.3390/nu17172828
PMID:40944218
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12430219/
Abstract

: The co-occurrence of obesity and elevated blood pressure (EBP) in childhood represents a critical but underrecognized public health concern, with potential long-term consequences for cardiometabolic health. Understanding its trends and disparities is essential for early prevention strategies. : This study analyzed data from 1,692,660 Han Chinese children and adolescents aged 7-18 years collected across seven waves of the Chinese National Survey on Students' Constitution and Health (CNSSCH) from 1985 to 2019. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate temporal trends, and logistic generalized additive models were fitted to predict prevalence through 2030. : The prevalence of co-occurring obesity and EBP increased from 0.06% in 1985 to 2.36% in 2019 and is projected to reach 5.87% by 2030. A slowdown in the growth rate was observed approximately in 2000. Notably, rural areas experienced a faster and more recent rise, especially among girls, suggesting widening disparities. : The growing dual burden of obesity and EBP in Chinese youth, especially in rural areas, calls for urgent and integrated interventions. Public health efforts must prioritize early prevention, with equitable policies that engage schools, families, and communities, particularly in underserved populations.

摘要

儿童期肥胖与血压升高(EBP)并存是一个关键但未得到充分认识的公共卫生问题,对心脏代谢健康可能产生长期影响。了解其趋势和差异对于早期预防策略至关重要。

本研究分析了1985年至2019年中国全国学生体质与健康调研(CNSSCH)七轮调查收集的1,692,660名7至18岁汉族儿童和青少年的数据。采用Joinpoint回归估计时间趋势,并拟合逻辑广义相加模型预测到2030年的患病率。

肥胖与EBP并存的患病率从1985年的0.06%上升至2019年的2.36%,预计到2030年将达到5.87%。大约在2000年观察到增长率放缓。值得注意的是,农村地区出现了更快且更近的上升趋势,尤其是在女孩中,这表明差距在扩大。

中国青少年,尤其是农村地区青少年,肥胖和EBP双重负担日益加重,这需要紧急和综合的干预措施。公共卫生工作必须将早期预防作为优先事项,制定公平政策,让学校、家庭和社区参与进来,特别是在服务不足的人群中。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/85aad9999194/nutrients-17-02828-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/7a04b4ceb28c/nutrients-17-02828-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/219323a62040/nutrients-17-02828-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/190ecf33fb6a/nutrients-17-02828-g003a.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/85aad9999194/nutrients-17-02828-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/7a04b4ceb28c/nutrients-17-02828-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/219323a62040/nutrients-17-02828-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/190ecf33fb6a/nutrients-17-02828-g003a.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b031/12430219/85aad9999194/nutrients-17-02828-g004.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Lancet Child Adolesc Health. 2025 Aug;9(8):530-543. doi: 10.1016/S2352-4642(25)00140-3. Epub 2025 Jun 19.
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Control of childhood obesity and implications for policy in China.中国儿童肥胖的控制及其政策意义。
Lancet Public Health. 2024 Dec;9(12):e1125-e1135. doi: 10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00263-9. Epub 2024 Nov 20.
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Secular trend and projection of overweight and obesity among Chinese children and adolescents aged 7-18 years from 1985 to 2019: Rural areas are becoming the focus of investment.
1985年至2019年中国7至18岁儿童青少年超重和肥胖的长期趋势及预测:农村地区正成为关注焦点。
Chin Med J (Engl). 2025 Feb 5;138(3):311-317. doi: 10.1097/CM9.0000000000003123. Epub 2024 May 9.
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