He Xiaoshuang, Wang Lu, Zhao Yu, Qu Yuanyuan, Xin Wenyan, Xu Lina, Li Wanyu, Wu Chao
First Affiliated Hospital of Shihezi University, No. 107, 32 Residential Area, North Second Road, Shihezi, 832000, Xinjiang, China.
School of Public Health, Xinjiang Medical University, Urumqi, 830011, Xinjiang, China.
Eur J Med Res. 2025 Sep 26;30(1):878. doi: 10.1186/s40001-025-03141-x.
Interstitial lung disease (ILD) and pulmonary sarcoidosis are common respiratory diseases that are difficult to diagnose and costly to treat. Adolescents and young adults (AYAs) aged 15-39 years are frequently overlooked in global burden estimates despite their unique epidemiological and societal implications. Comprehensive global burden estimates are lacking. To address this gap, we analysed the results of the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019, focusing on Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs).
Using the GBD 2019 dataset, we calculated age-standardised rate of incidence, mortality, and DALYs and their average annual percentage change from 1990 to 2019 across various factors, including sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and geographic region. Decomposition analyses explored the impacts of population growth, changing age structures, and epidemiological changes on ILD incidence, DALYs, and mortality in AYAs globally and across different SDI and GBD regions.interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis among adolescents and young adults trends from 2020 to 2049 were predicted using Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC).
In 2019, there were 2.6 million cases of ILD and pulmonary sarcoidosis in AYAs, and 3,428 deaths were attributed to these diseases. Age-standardised incidence and DALY rates significantly increased between 1990 and 2019. Females experienced higher rates than males. Standardised DALY rates decreased in high and middle-high SDI countries but increased in low, middle-low, and low-SDI countries. The primary reason was population growth, significantly impacting areas in the lower SDI quintiles.The BAPC model projected a gradual increase in the interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis in adolescents and young adults burden from 2020 to 2049.
This study provides recent epidemiological data on the burden of ILD and pulmonary sarcoidosis in AYAs. These findings highlight the importance of targeted control measures to reduce the burden in this age group.
间质性肺疾病(ILD)和肺结节病是常见的呼吸系统疾病,诊断困难且治疗费用高昂。尽管15至39岁的青少年和青年(AYAs)具有独特的流行病学和社会影响,但在全球疾病负担估计中却经常被忽视。目前缺乏全面的全球疾病负担估计。为了填补这一空白,我们分析了《2019年全球疾病负担研究》(GBD)的结果,重点关注伤残调整生命年(DALYs)。
使用GBD 2019数据集,我们计算了年龄标准化发病率、死亡率和DALYs及其在1990年至2019年期间的年均变化百分比,涉及性别、社会人口指数(SDI)和地理区域等各种因素。分解分析探讨了人口增长、年龄结构变化和流行病学变化对全球以及不同SDI和GBD区域的青少年和青年ILD发病率、DALYs和死亡率的影响。使用贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)模型预测了2***020年至2049年青少年和青年间质性肺疾病和肺结节病的趋势。
2019年,青少年和青年中发生了260万例ILD和肺结节病病例,3428例死亡归因于这些疾病。1990年至2019年期间,年龄标准化发病率和DALY率显著上升。女性的发病率高于男性。高SDI和中高SDI国家的标准化DALY率下降,但低、中低和低SDI国家的标准化DALY率上升。主要原因是人口增长,对低SDI五分位数地区产生了重大影响。BAPC模型预测,2020年至2049年期间,青少年和青年间质性肺疾病和肺结节病的负担将逐渐增加。
本研究提供了关于青少年和青年ILD和肺结节病负担的最新流行病学数据。这些发现凸显了采取针对性控制措施以减轻该年龄组负担的重要性。