Fu Hao, Zhang Tao, Gu Xue, Li Fudong, Jin Mingjuan, He Fan, Fei Fangrong
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics at School of Public Health, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310058, China.
Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 3399 Binsheng Road, Hangzhou, 310051, China.
BMC Public Health. 2025 Oct 21;25(1):3562. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-24837-z.
Alzheimer's disease (AD) has garnered significant attention in recent years. However, evidence of the association between air pollutant mixture and AD from prospective studies has not been systematically explored. We aimed to examine the associations of combined exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO), sulfur dioxide (SO), ozone (O), and particulate matter (PM) with diameters of ≤ 2.5 μm (PM) or ≤ 10 μm (PM) with AD, and to further investigate the potential modifiable effects of lifestyle factors and air pollution.
Our study was based on the Zhejiang Province Major Public Health Surveillance (ZJMPHS) Program. The concentrations of five air pollutants were estimated via the empirical Bayesian kriging (EBK) spatial interpolation method, and we applied a weighted joint air pollution score (JAPS) to evaluate their combined effects. AD was ascertained according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders and Statistics (DSM-IV) and Communicative Disorders and Stroke and the Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association-Alzheimer's Criteria (NINCDS-ADRDA). The Cox proportional hazards models were used to explore the associations between air pollution and AD.
A total of 10,055 participants aged ≥ 60 years were included in the analysis. During a follow-up period of 34,764 person-years, 879 AD cases were identified. SO, PM, and PM were positively associated with AD, with HRs of 1.11 (95% CI, 1.09, 1.14), 1.03 (95% CI, 1.02, 1.05) and 1.03 (95% CI, 1.02, 1.04), respectively. High JAPS (based on the median) was related to higher risk of AD (HR = 2.16, 95% CI: 1.87, 2.51). The extremely high JAPS (based on the third percentile) significantly increased the risk of AD (HR = 2.31, 95% CI: 2.01, 2.65). Significant (or borderline) interactions between JAPS and exercise (p = 0.009) and living alone (p = 0.058) were found, which both amplify the incidence density of AD in extremely high JAPS.
This study suggested that high concentration of air pollutant mixture could increase the risk of AD. Moreover, it is important to weigh the impact of exercise under extremely high air pollution and pay attention to those who live alone.
阿尔茨海默病(AD)近年来受到了广泛关注。然而,前瞻性研究中关于空气污染物混合物与AD之间关联的证据尚未得到系统探讨。我们旨在研究二氧化氮(NO)、二氧化硫(SO)、臭氧(O)以及直径≤2.5μm(PM)或≤10μm(PM)的颗粒物与AD之间的关联,并进一步调查生活方式因素和空气污染的潜在可调节影响。
我们的研究基于浙江省重大公共卫生监测(ZJMPHS)项目。通过经验贝叶斯克里金(EBK)空间插值方法估算了五种空气污染物的浓度,并应用加权联合空气污染评分(JAPS)来评估它们的综合影响。根据《精神疾病诊断与统计手册》和《沟通障碍、中风及阿尔茨海默病及相关障碍协会 - 阿尔茨海默病标准》(NINCDS - ADRDA)确定AD。使用Cox比例风险模型探讨空气污染与AD之间的关联。
共有10055名年龄≥60岁的参与者纳入分析。在34764人年的随访期内,确定了879例AD病例。SO、PM和PM与AD呈正相关,风险比(HR)分别为1.11(95%置信区间[CI],1.09,1.14)、1.03(95%CI,1.02,1.05)和1.03(95%CI,1.02,1.04)。高JAPS(基于中位数)与AD的较高风险相关(HR = 2.16,95%CI:1.87,2.51)。极高JAPS(基于第三百分位数)显著增加了AD的风险(HR = 2.31,95%CI:2.01,2.65)。发现JAPS与运动(p = 0.009)和独居(p = 0.058)之间存在显著(或临界)交互作用,这两者均增加了极高JAPS下AD的发病密度。
本研究表明,高浓度的空气污染物混合物可能增加AD的风险。此外,权衡极高空气污染情况下运动的影响以及关注独居者很重要。