Berg A O
J Fam Pract. 1979 May;8(5):1011-4.
Although research in family medicine is growing rapidly, few family physicians have had experience or training in statistical methods. Statistical significance and P values are often misunderstood and frequently misapplied. "Significance" is arbitrary; the actual P value is of greater interest than a significant/not significant statement; P values do not measure the strength of an association; statistical significance is not equivalent to "actual" significance; P values are largely dependent on sample size; and data "dredging" is guaranteed to yield spurious results. Competent statistical consultation, careful study planning, and recognition of statistical pitfalls are important to anyone who does research, and knowledge of these areas is useful as well to anyone reading the medical literature.
尽管家庭医学领域的研究正在迅速发展,但很少有家庭医生有过统计方法方面的经验或培训。统计学显著性和P值常常被误解且频繁被错误应用。“显著性”是人为设定的;实际的P值比显著性与否的表述更具意义;P值并不能衡量关联的强度;统计学显著性并不等同于“实际”显著性;P值很大程度上取决于样本量;而且数据“挖掘”肯定会产生虚假结果。对于任何进行研究的人来说,专业的统计咨询、精心的研究规划以及对统计陷阱的认识都很重要,并且这些领域的知识对于阅读医学文献的任何人也很有用。