May R M
Science. 1974 Nov 15;186(4164):645-7. doi: 10.1126/science.186.4164.645.
Some of the simplest nonlinear difference equations describing the growth of biological populations with nonoverlapping generations can exhibit a remarkable spectrum of dynamical behavior, from stable equilibrium points, to stable cyclic oscillations between 2 population points, to stable cycles with 4, 8, 16, . . . points, through to a chaotic regime in which (depending on the initial population value) cycles of any period, or even totally aperiodic but boundedpopulation fluctuations, can occur. This rich dynamical structure is overlooked in conventional linearized analyses; its existence in such fully deterministic nonlinear difference equations is a fact of considerable mathematical and ecological interest.
一些描述具有不重叠世代的生物种群增长的最简单非线性差分方程,可以展现出显著的动态行为谱,从稳定平衡点,到两个种群点之间的稳定周期性振荡,再到具有4、8、16……个点的稳定周期,直至进入混沌状态,在该状态下(取决于初始种群值),可以出现任何周期的循环,甚至是完全非周期但有界的种群波动。这种丰富的动态结构在传统的线性化分析中被忽视了;它在这种完全确定性的非线性差分方程中的存在是一个具有相当数学和生态学意义的事实。