Martins J M, Sills I
Aust Fam Physician. 1979 Jul;8(7):790-8.
The postwar measures taken to increase medical manpower in New South Wales have been most successful, to the extent that the present number of medical practitioners available to the population exceeds the recommended level. These efforts have also been reasonably successful in providing more primary medical care in both country and some metropolitan areas. Calculations have been made to estimate how many doctors will be available to the year 1996 if; (a) present proposed training numbers are continued; (b) medical graduates are reduced by 100 per annum from 1985 (that is, 1980 student intakes); (c) medical graduates are reduced by 200 per annum from 1985. For the purpose of these calculations the immigration of doctors was neglected, which in the past has been responsible for a large percentage of the medical workforce. These conservative estimates show that with the 200 per annum reduction, there would still be an excess of doctors by 1991, but that the doctor/population ratio would be close to the recommended ratio by 1996.
新南威尔士州为增加医疗人力而采取的战后措施非常成功，以至于目前可供民众使用的执业医生数量超过了建议水平。这些努力在乡村和一些大都市地区提供更多初级医疗服务方面也取得了相当的成功。已进行计算，以估计在以下情况下到1996年将有多少医生可供使用：(a)继续目前提议的培训人数；(b)从1985年起每年减少100名医学毕业生（即1980年入学的学生）；(c)从1985年起每年减少200名医学毕业生。为了这些计算的目的，忽略了医生的移民情况，而过去医生移民在很大比例的医疗劳动力中占了很大比例。这些保守估计表明，每年减少200名医生的情况下，到1991年医生数量仍会过剩，但到1996年医生与人口的比例将接近建议比例。
