Moore D R, Chamberlain P, Mukai L H
J Abnorm Child Psychol. 1979 Sep;7(3):345-55. doi: 10.1007/BF00916544.
This study compared the follow-up incidence of court-recorded nonstatus offenses for three groups of adolescent children. These children had been seen 2 to 9 years earlier for problems with aggression in the home (N = 21), for stealing problems (N = 25), or for normative comparisons (N = 14). The results showed that 77% of the children with stealing problems had court-recorded offenses. This was significantly higher than the aggressive children, whose rate did not differ from the normative sample. These findings suggested that young aggressive children were not at risk for adolescent court contact. Instead, it was the young child with identified stealing problems who was highly likely to become an official delinquent. It also appeared that parental reports of stealing events constituted a predictive measure of later criminal acts.
本研究比较了三组青少年儿童法庭记录的非身份犯罪的后续发生率。这些儿童在2至9年前曾因家庭攻击问题(N = 21)、盗窃问题(N = 25)或进行规范性比较(N = 14)而接受过检查。结果显示,77%有盗窃问题的儿童有法庭记录的犯罪行为。这显著高于有攻击行为的儿童,其发生率与正常样本没有差异。这些发现表明,有攻击行为的年幼儿童没有面临青少年法庭接触的风险。相反,有明确盗窃问题的幼儿极有可能成为正式的违法者。似乎父母对盗窃事件的报告也构成了对后期犯罪行为的一种预测指标。