Ryder N B, Westoff C F
Science. 1966 Sep 9;153(3741):1199-205. doi: 10.1126/science.153.3741.1199.
This is the first report from the Na-tional Fertility Study, 1965, a survey of the reproductive behavior of a national sample of married women, under the age of 55, living with their husbands. The report presents basic data on the use of oral contraception by women under the age of 45, in relation to age, parity, education, race, and religion. The study leads to certain conclusions, as follows. Present, past, and prospective use vary inversely with the age of the woman and directly with the number of years of schooling; the majority of young women with college training have already used the oral contraceptive. Use by Negroes is somewhat less extensive than use by whites, particularly for ages below 25; some of this difference is explainable by concomitant racial differences in educational level. Negroes seem less likely than whites to use oral contraception for timing early births, and more likely, when they do use it, to be attempting to terminate their fertility. The same observation holds for white Catholics in relation to white non-Catholics. Although the extent of use may be lower among Catholics than non-Catholics, the proportion of Catholics who report use is substantial indeed in view of the persisting theological controversy. The prospects for increased use of oral contraception seem very good at present, but they may be limited by further developments in the technology of fertility regulation. Meanwhile the birth rate has declined substantially. Although much sophisticated analysis of other data from the survey will be required to determine the extent of the contribution of oral contraception to this decline, the findings presented here suggest that the contribution is substantial for young married couples. The major effect on the couple's eventual number of children may be less than the effect on the time pattern of childbearing; in any event, both lower eventual parity and delayed fertility contribute to a decline in the numbers of births from year to year. Whatever the intent may be, it is apparent that young American couples have adopted a new means for achieving their reproductive goals.
这是1965年全国生育力研究的首份报告,该研究对全国55岁以下与丈夫同住的已婚女性样本的生殖行为进行了调查。报告呈现了45岁以下女性使用口服避孕药的基本数据,涉及年龄、生育次数、教育程度、种族和宗教等方面。该研究得出了以下某些结论。目前、过去和未来的使用情况与女性年龄呈反比,与受教育年限呈正比;大多数受过大学教育的年轻女性已经使用过口服避孕药。黑人的使用范围比白人略窄,尤其是在25岁以下年龄段;这种差异部分可归因于教育水平的种族差异。黑人似乎比白人更不可能为安排早产而使用口服避孕药,而在使用时,更有可能是试图终止生育。白天主教徒与白非天主教徒的情况也是如此。尽管天主教徒的使用程度可能低于非天主教徒,但鉴于神学争议依然存在,报告使用口服避孕药的天主教徒比例实际上相当可观。目前,口服避孕药的使用增加前景似乎非常好,但可能会受到生育调节技术进一步发展的限制。与此同时,出生率大幅下降。尽管需要对该调查的其他数据进行大量复杂分析,以确定口服避孕药对这一下降的贡献程度,但此处呈现的研究结果表明,对年轻已婚夫妇而言,这种贡献相当大。对夫妇最终子女数量的主要影响可能小于对生育时间模式的影响;无论如何,较低的最终生育次数和生育延迟都导致每年出生人数下降。无论意图如何,显然美国年轻夫妇已经采用了一种新手段来实现他们的生育目标。