Ottman R, Pike M C, King M C, Henderson B E
Lancet. 1983 Sep 3;2(8349):556-8. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(83)90580-9.
Life-table analysis was used to estimate the cumulative risk of breast cancer to various ages for mothers and sisters of breast cancer patients in a population-based series. These cumulative risk estimates were then used to derive a probability of breast cancer diagnosis within each decade between ages 20 and 70 for mothers and sisters, according to age of diagnosis in the patient and whether the disease was unilateral or bilateral. Risks for relatives of premenopausal patients with unilateral disease were no higher than those for relatives of postmenopausal patients. Relatives of premenopausal patients with bilateral disease had higher risk than relatives of patients with unilateral disease, irrespective of age at diagnosis in those with unilateral disease. Sisters were at higher risk than were mothers.
采用寿命表分析法,对某人群系列中乳腺癌患者的母亲和姐妹在不同年龄患乳腺癌的累积风险进行估计。然后,根据患者的诊断年龄以及疾病是单侧还是双侧,利用这些累积风险估计值得出母亲和姐妹在20至70岁各十年间乳腺癌诊断的概率。绝经前单侧疾病患者亲属的风险不高于绝经后患者亲属。绝经前双侧疾病患者的亲属比单侧疾病患者的亲属风险更高,无论单侧疾病患者的诊断年龄如何。姐妹的风险高于母亲。