Poynard T, Zourabichvili O, Hilpert G, Naveau S, Poitrine A, Benatar C, Chaput J C
Hepatology. 1984 Mar-Apr;4(2):324-7. doi: 10.1002/hep.1840040224.
The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of total serum bilirubin (TSB), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) and the TSB/GGT ratio in 129 consecutive cirrhotic patients, and to determine how seven other clinical and biochemical variables affect the prognostic value of these measurements. The Cox model and log rank test were used to compare survival rates at 1 year. Considered alone, encephalopathy, ascites, TSB, prothrombin time, serum albumin, GGT and the TSB/GGT ratio (TSB expressed in mumoles per liter and GGT in IU per liter were associated to the 1-year survival (p less than 0.10). The estimated per cent surviving at the end of 1 year was 20% for those with encephalopathy and 59% for those without, 46% and 62% for those with and without ascites, 28% for those with TSB greater than 3.0 mg per dl, 68% for those with TSB less than or equal to 3.0 mg per dl, 44% for those with GGT less than or equal to 100 IU per liter, 60% for those with GGT greater than 100 IU per liter, and 12% for those with TSB/GGT greater than 1, 66% for those with TSB/GGT less than or equal to 1. With the Cox model, which was used to assess the combined effect of several prognostic variables, GGT was the only biochemical variable which added significant prognostic value to TSB. The combination of TSB and GGT added significant prognostic value to encephalopathy and ascites.
本研究旨在评估连续129例肝硬化患者的血清总胆红素(TSB)、γ-谷氨酰转肽酶(GGT)及TSB/GGT比值的预后价值,并确定其他七个临床和生化变量如何影响这些测量指标的预后价值。采用Cox模型和对数秩检验比较1年生存率。单独来看,肝性脑病、腹水、TSB、凝血酶原时间、血清白蛋白、GGT及TSB/GGT比值(TSB以微摩尔每升表示,GGT以国际单位每升表示)与1年生存率相关(p<0.10)。有肝性脑病者1年末估计生存率为20%,无肝性脑病者为59%;有腹水者和无腹水者分别为46%和62%;TSB大于3.0mg/dl者为28%,TSB小于或等于3.0mg/dl者为68%;GGT小于或等于100国际单位每升者为44%,GGT大于100国际单位每升者为60%;TSB/GGT大于1者为12%,TSB/GGT小于或等于1者为66%。使用Cox模型评估多个预后变量的联合效应时,GGT是唯一能为TSB增加显著预后价值的生化变量。TSB和GGT的联合为肝性脑病和腹水增加了显著的预后价值。