Khalfen E Sh
Kardiologiia. 1983 Jan;23(1):19-25.
A program based on 19 risk factors is proposed for the prognosis of possible myocardial infarction within the next five years. The weight of every risk factor is computerized depending on its markedness. An equation is also proposed to calculate the prognostic index of infarction risks in an individual subject. Prospective studies in 4019 subjects have shown that no cases of myocardial infarction were recorded in subjects with low prognostic index, while the medium-high index was associated with infarction in 0,36% of the cases, and the high risk index with 26% of infarction cases over the three years of follow-up. The high-risk group only constituting 4% of total population, efficient prevention of myocardial infarction in those subjects seems to be a feasible approach.
提出了一个基于19个风险因素的程序，用于预测未来五年内可能发生的心肌梗死。每个风险因素的权重根据其显著程度进行计算机化处理。还提出了一个方程来计算个体受试者心肌梗死风险的预后指数。对4019名受试者的前瞻性研究表明，预后指数低的受试者未记录到心肌梗死病例，而中高指数与随访三年中0.36%的病例发生梗死相关，高风险指数与26%的梗死病例相关。高风险组仅占总人口的4%，对这些受试者进行有效的心肌梗死预防似乎是一种可行的方法。
