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牛白血病自愿防控的效益/成本方面。

Benefit/cost aspects on voluntary control of bovine leukosis.

作者信息

Hugoson G, Wold-Troell M

出版信息

Nord Vet Med. 1983 Jan;35(1):1-17.

PMID:6403923
Abstract

An organized voluntary control of bovine leukosis, motivated by export interests, has existed in Sweden since 1969. Owing to reduced prospects for export, the economic justification for the control has been questioned. The present study comprises programs and economical calculations for a twenty-year period and considering three different modes of action, namely A. Continued organized control. B. Discarding of all precautionary measures. C. Private voluntary control based on herd examination and certain precautions in restocking routines. Cost/benefit ratios, net present value (NPV), and effective interest rate (IRR) have been calculated. Profitability throughout was found to be worst in alternative A, similar in the B and C alternatives at a low export rate, and best in alternative C in the case where exports comprise at least 60 animals per year.

摘要

自1969年以来,出于出口利益的考虑,瑞典一直对牛白血病进行有组织的自愿控制。由于出口前景降低,这种控制措施的经济合理性受到了质疑。本研究包括了为期二十年的计划和经济计算,并考虑了三种不同的行动模式,即A. 继续进行有组织的控制。B. 摒弃所有预防措施。C. 基于畜群检查和再引种程序中的某些预防措施的私人自愿控制。计算了成本效益比、净现值(NPV)和有效利率(IRR)。结果发现,方案A的整体盈利能力最差,在低出口率情况下,方案B和C相似,而在每年出口至少60头牛的情况下,方案C的盈利能力最佳。

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