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通过蒙特卡罗模拟对两种用于出生缺陷监测的统计技术进行比较。

Comparison of two statistical techniques for the surveillance of birth defects through a Monte Carlo simulation.

作者信息

Barbujani G, Calzolari E

出版信息

Stat Med. 1984 Jul-Sep;3(3):239-47. doi: 10.1002/sim.4780030306.

DOI:10.1002/sim.4780030306
PMID:6484376
Abstract

In a multi-hospital surveillance system for detecting increases in congenital malformation rates, the performance of the set technique applied individually to hospitals and of the cumulative sum (Cusum) technique applied to the aggregate of hospitals has been compared using a Monte Carlo method. The Cusum technique appears to be both more sensitive to real increases and less likely to issue false alarms.

摘要

在一个用于检测先天性畸形率上升情况的多医院监测系统中，已使用蒙特卡罗方法比较了单独应用于各医院的设定技术以及应用于医院总体数据的累积和（Cusum）技术的性能。Cusum技术似乎对实际上升情况更敏感，且发出误报的可能性更小。

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