Kurland L T, Molgaard C A, Kurland E M, Erdtmann F J, Stebbing G E
Mayo Clin Proc. 1984 Dec;59(12):816-21. doi: 10.1016/s0025-6196(12)65615-8.
On the basis of available incidence rates, about 22,000 new cases of definite rheumatoid arthritis would have developed fortuitously among the 45 million recipients of the swine flu vaccine during the year after the immunization program. No excess has been detected. Proportional morbidity studies among all Mayo Clinic patients and among the active-duty personnel of the US Army showed no increase in the number of cases of rheumatoid arthritis after administration of the swine flu vaccine. These results do not support the claims based on anecdotal reports of an association of the vaccine with rheumatoid arthritis.
根据现有的发病率,在免疫计划实施后的一年中,4500万猪流感疫苗接种者中大约会偶然出现22000例确诊的类风湿性关节炎新病例。但未检测到超额病例。梅奥诊所所有患者以及美国陆军现役人员的发病率比例研究表明,接种猪流感疫苗后类风湿性关节炎病例数并未增加。这些结果不支持基于疫苗与类风湿性关节炎关联的轶事报告所提出的说法。