Tubercle. 1984 Dec;65(4):253-61. doi: 10.1016/0041-3879(84)90035-7.
For the 12-month period from September 1st 1975 to August 31st 1976, and for the years 1979 and 1980, records were obtained for patients certified on part I of the death certificate as having died from tuberculosis in Hong Kong. In addition, records were obtained for patients in whom tuberculosis was a contributory cause of death (part II certifications) in 1979 and in 1980. The records for each survey were reviewed by an independent assessor. In the assessor's opinion, the diagnosis of tuberculosis was adequately established in 93%, 92%, and 92% of the patients in the 3 periods respectively, but among the part I certifications tuberculosis had in fact been the direct cause of death in only 74%, 78%, and 76%, active disease being the cause in 53%, 48% and 42%, and the late results of previous disease, inactive at the time of death, in 21%, 30% and 35%, respectively. Among the part II certifications, 39% in 1979 and 45% in 1980 should have been part I certifications, and only 32% and 24% respectively had been correctly certified in part II. If all the patients certified in part I had really died from tuberculosis, the death rates would have been 13.1 per 100 000 population in 1975/76, 9.7 in 1979, and 10.3 in 1980. According to the assessor's classification these should have been 9.7, 7.5, and 7.9 respectively, the rates from active disease declining from 6.9 in 1975/76, to 4.6 in 1979, and 4.3 in 1980. Among both part 1 and part 11 certifications there was a marked preponderance of males, and the death rates were particularly high in patients of both sexes aged 55 years or over.
在1975年9月1日至1976年8月31日的12个月期间,以及1979年和1980年,获取了香港死亡证明第一部分认证为死于结核病的患者记录。此外,还获取了1979年和1980年结核病作为死因之一(第二部分认证)的患者记录。每次调查的记录均由一名独立评估员进行审查。评估员认为,在这三个时期,分别有93%、92%和92%的患者结核病诊断得到充分确立,但在第一部分认证中,结核病实际上仅分别在74%、78%和76%的患者中是直接死因,活动性疾病为死因的分别占53%、48%和42%,既往疾病的晚期结果(死亡时已无活动)分别占21%、30%和35%。在第二部分认证中,1979年有39%和1980年有45%本应属于第一部分认证,而在第二部分中分别只有32%和24%得到了正确认证。如果所有第一部分认证的患者真的死于结核病,那么1975/76年的死亡率将为每10万人口13.1例,1979年为9.7例,1980年为10.3例。根据评估员的分类,这些数字本应分别为9.7、7.5和7.9,活动性疾病导致的死亡率从1975/76年的6.9例降至1979年的4.6例,再降至1980年的4.3例。在第一部分和第二部分认证中,男性均占明显多数,55岁及以上的男女患者死亡率尤其高。