Järvinen S
Community Dent Oral Epidemiol. 1983 Dec;11(6):363-6. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0528.1983.tb01392.x.
The relationship between the age-specific mean number of DMF teeth and the age-specific mean number of DMF surfaces in the population has been studied using the original data of Knutson and epidemiologic data from five Finnish materials, including data of 4718 subjects examined. Two models of regression between the variables were evaluated statistically by making a comparison between a linear and a curvilinear model of regression. For Knutson's original data, both models were suitable, apart from one data set with a relatively high caries prevalence, for which the association between the variables could be better expressed by the linear model. Concerning the recent Finnish materials, the difference in accuracy between the models seemed to be related to the range of the measurements; the larger the range of the measured caries prevalences, including low and high prevalence rates, the more proponderant the curvilinear model. For very low caries populations as well, the curvilinear model, a correction exponential curve, seemed to fit caries data somewhat better than the straight line.
利用克努森的原始数据以及来自五项芬兰资料的流行病学数据(包括对4718名受试者的检查数据),对人群中特定年龄的DMF牙平均数与特定年龄的DMF面平均数之间的关系进行了研究。通过比较线性回归模型和曲线回归模型,对变量之间的两种回归模型进行了统计学评估。对于克努森的原始数据,除了一个龋病患病率相对较高的数据集外,两种模型都适用,对于该数据集,变量之间的关联可以用线性模型更好地表示。关于芬兰最近的资料,模型之间准确性的差异似乎与测量范围有关;测量的龋病患病率范围越大,包括低患病率和高患病率,曲线模型的优势就越明显。对于龋病率极低的人群,曲线模型(一条修正指数曲线)似乎比直线能更好地拟合龋病数据。